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Ooooh.
SALES:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053928031#!/compare/1493942400/1494028800
Sold for Duped G.Fetti Noh (mini at 505)
Noh Mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970904315#!/compare/1491004800/1491091200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085269574#!/compare/1491004800/1491091200
Sold + Vivid Phantom (~40, four months outdated at 44 but seller below) + a metric butt-ton of sweets (~48.7 by my math, rounding to 50) for Burning DCO (654)
=564.
https://gyazo.com/244b3a1079f9ff2cfcad0c8aca305a7d
Sold for ~$550 = ~270, presumably low.
Only recent sales. However, https://gyazo.com/e65c1fe54a2286cb897430a39d4ac5a8 fairly young seller at 450
Taking 450-560, which is 505.
Let it ride.
Can confirm the two sales, however the noh seller is now asking 600 keys
This was left open for so long because the used sale in the noh mini is about two times what that dupe has always sold for. With sales at 270 and 565, I think 505 is a high estimate. Personally, I would not price this based on the noh due to its unstable and poorly determinable value (based on the huge discrepancy in sales, of which - realisticly speaking - I think the 270 is closer to the actual value than 565, but that may be just me).
If you however want to price it off the noh sale, I would not discard the low sale here, and at the very least make a wide noh range as your mini
I second that.
In this case its probably best to wait with a reusggestion until there is another useable sale on the noh or the falkirk. Also his b/o was 500 keys btw for the future: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28885332