Re-suggesting, taking Erik's advice

Sale 1:

Sold for Miami Nights Das Gutenkutteharen (30.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28827542 - B/O of 26

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070168650#!/compare/1489708800/1489795200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999889701#!/compare/1487894400/1489795200

X = 26 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for $53.29 on the Steam Community Market

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996306396#!/compare/1491350400/1491436800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301791840#!/compare/1491350400/1491436800

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Mo%27Horn

Keys were ~$2.42 at the time

53.29/2.42 = ~22

X = 22

Sale 3:

Sold for Logo Western Wear (Mini at 19 below) + 2 keys + >1 key in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28811300 - B/O of 21

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210073617#!/compare/1489017600/1489276800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070168650#!/compare/1489190400/1489276800

X = 21 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 4:

Sold for Phosphorus Bootleg Base Metal Billycock (Mini at 19.5 below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28810642 - B/O of 19, re-listed multiple times

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28795032 - Original B/O of 26

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355208726#!/compare/1488412800/1488499200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210073617#!/compare/1487980800/1488499200

X = 19 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 5:

Sold with ~21 keys in items for Stormy Brown Bomber

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083272462#!/compare/1488499200/1489968000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086948995#!/compare/1488412800/1488499200

Not using, pretty bulky, would end up being kinda low anyways.

Phosphorus Bootleg Mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5912ccbde3387760a5223ca7

Logo Western Wear Mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5912d4e2e338770a0a1f951c

Sellers:

27 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/QvCJquB.png - 2 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198044934255

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28772963

http://i.imgur.com/MVOLNad.png - 22 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561197965601027

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28840114

30 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/nK87ZKM.png - 6 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198086948995

35 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/6tj0olD.png - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198074924284

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28625410 - 5 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198113548413

Sales at:

19

21

22

26

26 looks pretty high. Excluding 26. Taking Erik’s advice on the range

Going with 19-26.