Price Suggestion
~45.5 keys
frostbite
Unusual Big Elfin Deal Frostbite
53 votes up
19 votes down
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Comments

Counter/resuggest - previous suggester hasn't resuggested for 3 days and I need this for a mini


[url]http://backpack.tf/item/3272163611[/url]

[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174604321#!/compare/1490227200/1490832000[/url]

[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195731583#!/compare/1490140800/1490227200[/url] - buyer's side

Sold with a Strange Part: Damage Dealt (1.9 keys) and 15 keys pure for a Scorching Flames Bombing Run (active suggestion at 52-55: [url]http://backpack.tf/suggestion/591898a3e3387731b851fb62[/url]) = 37 keys


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195731583#!/compare/1490572800/1490659200[/url]

4 day quicksold for 25 keys pure


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024700553#!/compare/1490572800/1490659200[/url]

[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317256915#!/compare/1490572800/1490659200[/url] - buyer's side

<1 day quicksold for an It's a puzzle to me B'aaarrgh-b-Bicorne (using there)


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317256915#!/compare/1490832000/1491004800[/url]

3 day quicksold for a Cloud 9 Honcho's Headgear (in-date at 38-40 keys) = 39 keys


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092173139#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400[/url]

Bulk for a Demonflame Milkman and 3.66 ref in robot parts (lol sweets)


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119057660#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400[/url] - buyer's side

<1 day quicksell bulk for a Scorching Flames Triboniophorus Tyrannus


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119057660#!/compare/1493510400/1493596800[/url]

1 day quicksell with a Searing Plasma Ye Olde Baker Boy for a duped Sunbeams Connoisseur's Cap (probably supports range)


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132226518#!/compare/1493596800/1493683200[/url]

Scammed?


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101217448#!/compare/1493683200/1494028800[/url]

Scammer alt?


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198264823583#!/compare/1493769600/1493942400[/url]

Sold with an Orbiting Fire Rimmed Raincatcher and a Power Surge Stainless Pot for 43 keys pure (low)


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069559160#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800[/url]

Sold for a Cloud 9 Front Runner (in-date at 39-41 keys) and ~15 keys sweets capped by B/O 50 = 50 keys

Confirmed here: [url]http://imgur.com/a/1FTfs[/url]


[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038391383#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800[/url]

Apparently bulk for a Frostbite Killer Exclusive


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29175783[/url]

[url]http://imgur.com/a/FsE1b[/url]

Currently for sale, listed for 2 days at 42 keys.


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[url]http://backpack.tf/item/3270650850[/url]

No recent sales.


[url]http://backpack.tf/item/3343569216[/url]

Disappeared off the face of the earth.


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Sales:

25 QS

37

39 QS

50


I'm really not sure about this one, but I think I'm going to have to call 50 the outlier here. Going with 37-39, we'll see how the votes/comments go.

Comments, criticism, and extra proof are welcome even more than usual here. Have a nice day!

    Why would you exclude the 50 key sale? I had no trouble selling it for my b/o of 50. I recommend a range from 39-50.

      I would have to ask you then why are you excluding the 37 key sale? And a range of 37-50 is pretty ridiculous, I think I have to call one of the sales an outlier, and 50 is the furthest from the other two.

        37-50 works too. I've seen larger ranges but if you want to exclude one of the sales I could also make a counter suggestion and see what I come up with.

        The 50 keys sale (actually was 55 but caps at my b/o of 50) proved that the hat can be sold in short time for this price so I don't know why it should be excluded if we want suggestions and bp.tf prices to be accurate.

          I think the safest bet is to wait and see what the current seller sells it for; if he sells in the next few days then we have another data point and I'll resuggest and if not the unsold will counter your sale.

            The seller at 42 has sold for bulk and new seller is at 45. I countered your suggestion with he range I proposed earlier from 39-50.

      Sale 1 cannot be used because it is used to update the Scorching Flames Bombing Run

        Given that it's not setting the range, I would consider it acceptable to use here.

        Between that and the sellers below 50, I consider this the more valid of the two open suggestions.

          You are using it to set the low end of your suggestion or am I seeing something wrong here? You cannot use it to set your range because it is being used to update another hat.

            "Your"?

            Anyway, the Brainiac sale (the one in bold) is setting the low-end. So using it here is fine.

            As indicated, 37-50 is probably too wide a range, and there are / have been multiple sellers below 50.

              The one in bold cannot be used. The Bombing Run in that sale is getting updated with a Frostbite Big Elfin Deal. Cannot update them vice-versa

                And why can't it be used? I mean the bold sale on the bombing suggestion, the one setting the low-end of the range there. The one you're "seeing wrong."

                It's only support on the bombing suggestion, it's fine to use here. Trust me.

                  If the other suggestion gets accepted then the Bombing Run will also need to be repriced so IMO it cannot be used but I'll wait for mods to reply on both suggestions.

                    If your suggestion on this hat gets accepted the sale with the Bombing Run would probably be considered an outlier and not matter there anyway.

                    Also, you still haven't given a reason for excluding the 37 sale, which I must note took over a month to sell (maybe lowered price at some point, but still).

                      I excluded it because it is being used to price the other hat. If this suggestion gets accepted then I want to use this suggestion to price the Bombing Run and I can only do that if I do not include that sale here.

                        "I excluded it because it is being used to price the other hat."


                        "using there, would fit in range"

                        "using there"


                        "There" refers to this hat.


                        [url]http://backpack.tf/suggestion/591898a3e3387731b851fb62[/url]

                          It would not fit the range if the Elfin deal gets priced at 44.5 keys (which would be the media price of my suggestion) I believe.

                            Yes, but it's not currently being used to price the Bombing Run. There is no reason not to include it in the suggestion for this hat, especially since it's a third sale which significantly tightens the range, while there it would be a third sale which fits in the range or is pretty close anyways.

      Recent sales:

      [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101092551#!/compare/1494547200/1494892800[/url]

      4 day quicksell bulk for a Frostbite Cotton Head


      [url]http://imgur.com/a/mXiZa[/url]

      Listed on backpack.tf for 15 hours at 45 keys.

      Not listed on Outpost as far as I can tell.