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[url]http://backpack.tf/item/4281930036[/url]
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138277266#!/compare/1489622400/1489708800[/url]
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065110530#!/compare/1489622400/1489708800[/url] - buyer's compare
Sold with an Electrostatic Berliner's Bucket Helm (in-date at 25 keys) and 7 keys pure for a duped Burning Flames Stout Shako (in-date at 62-65, mini at 60 below) = 28 keys
A little bulky, but still the most valuable hat on this side of the trade so should be okay.
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065110530#!/compare/1490227200/1490313600[/url]
Bulk for a Demonflame Hustler's Hallmark
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095335435#!/compare/1490486400/1490572800[/url]
2 days quicksell for 32 keys pure + 26.77 ref + Blue Mew Scattergun (Minimal Wear) = 34 keys
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317256915#!/compare/1490572800/1490659200[/url]
1 day quicksell for a Frostbite Big Elfin Deal (active suggestion at 37-39 keys: [url]http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5918b043e33877690227d1ab[/url]) = 38 keys
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024700553#!/compare/1491091200/1491177600[/url]
Cashed out???
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Duped Burning Shako Mini:
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102170771#!/compare/1489190400/1489536000[/url]
Sold to a bot for 49 keys pure
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296062531#!/compare/1489536000/1489622400[/url]
Most likely resold same day for 54 keys pure.
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138277266#!/compare/1494028800/1494201600[/url]
Sold for 55 keys pure + Strange Festive Specialized Killstreak Autumn Rocket Launcher (Factory New) (~5 keys on SCM) = 60 keys
Taking 60 keys
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[url]http://backpack.tf/item/4285898678[/url]
Strange, no recent sales.
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[url]https://backpack.tf/item/4256313061[/url]
[url]http://imgur.com/a/vR6wl[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28881553[/url]
Unsold at 40 keys for 2 months.
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Sales:
28
34 QS
38 QS
Calling 28 the outlier here and going with 34-38 keys. They are both quicksells, but the unsold at 40 keys for 2 months shows the current price is definitely too high.
Comments, criticism, and extra proof are always welcome. Have a nice day!
I countered the Frostbite Big Elfin Deal with a suggestion at 44.5 so I recommend we wait and see which one gets accepted before we price this hat with a possibly false mini.
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/591ae89de3387773e71a2aa4
all of these sales support the suggestion at 37-39 for the frostbite since all of these sales are near the low-end. in this case 45 would be too high here due to the seller at 40 keys unsold for 2 months which further shows that 50 is high for the elfin