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Updated with correct mini. Thanks to Fish Related Crimes for spotting my error.
Sale 1: Sold for Pro KS Aussie Wrench (23.5) and 1 Key --> 24.5; rounding to 25
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353843277#!/compare/1494633600/1494806400
Sale 2: Bulk
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144322309#!/compare/1491004800/1491091200
Sale 3: Sold for Searing Plasma Counterfeit Billycock (23 keys) + 2 keys --> 25 keys
http://imgur.com/a/Bba2n
Sale 4: Bulk
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060234718#!/compare/1491696000/1491782400
Sale 5: Sold totgether with ~1key in items for 18 Keys pure --> 17 keys. Was QS so not useable
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039289651#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800
Sale 6: Not traceable
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043992035#!/compare/1491955200/1492041600
Suggesting 25 keys.
Looks good. I'm skeptical this might be a little high given the two-month unsold in the classifieds, but 17-25 would be inappropriate for the reasons you've stated. Unless other sales occur, and it may be worth leaving this open for a bit for that reason, this will be fine.