Sale 1:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168489289#!/compare/1487894400/1488412800

Sold for Slumber Muffs(42 (seller))+orb fire Robin(15)+13 keys in sweets

70

Orbiting Fire Robin mini

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/590735c9c44045066352e766

Sale 2:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1488499200/1488585600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082915556#!/compare/1488153600/1488585600

Neutron Star Winter Woodsman(39) + Green Black Hole Base Metal Billycock(22) + 40 pure

100

Green Black Hole Base Metal Billycock mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/59073211e338773ea618b91c

Sale 3:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141166612#!/compare/1489190400/1489363200 should be used for the other hat

Now credit Birdman:

Sale 4:

https://marketplace.tf/items/920;5;u30 - Sold via Marketplace on 3/26 @ 202.26 (202.26/2.1 = ~96)

So sales are 70, 96, & 100, but the 100 should probably have been B/O capped somewhere...

http://imgur.com/a/dTaYO - Current sellers, young @ 63 + 2x fairly young @ 70

Young seller for 75

For now, I would suggest 70-95 as a more conservative drop, using the sale at 100 as high end support since it's 2.5 months old and we don't know where it would be capped either. However, if 70 continues to struggle selling, 70 flat would still wind up being better.