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Sale 1
Energy Orb Aqua Marine (Field-Tested) = 36
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097843248#!/compare/1489708800/1489795200
RL mini
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070203221#!/compare/1494892800/1495238400
Australium RL (36)
Sale 2
Qsale: http://screenshot.sh/mE6DFZd0RKhBx
(I believe this's this sale: http://imgur.com/a/yiHlc)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097843248#!/compare/1489968000/1490918400
Sale 3
25 pure, reselling @ 25: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29193201
https://gyazo.com/ac833c3f4a1265ec74d9e813fe8a5488
The unusual RL was updated at 43 keys, and as you say, the Billycock buyer apparently ended up selling for way lower than that on SCM.
I would ignore these two older sales and go with 25 keys flat here. We are after pure values of items after all, and current seller doesn't value it above 25.