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Recent sales -
1. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104186797#!/compare/1493424000/1495238400 Sold for a bubbling scopers + 1 key
Mini for scopers - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28788136 unsold at 15 for 3 months
Going with 16.
Couldn't find any more usable sales
http://imgur.com/a/YOlAS Unsold's at 19 for 5 months and 3 months supports the drop.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1491782400/1491868800 - Sold for 18 pure
Scopers are up to date at 14.5 now, but that sale will still round up to 16, so 16-18 will work.