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Sale #1
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068064085#!/compare/1495670400/1495756800
(92) It's A Secret To Everybody Lucky Shot + (3) keys = (95)
-mini Secret Lucky (92 Keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068064085#!/compare/1495152000/1495324800
(9-10) Collector's Professional Killstreak Winger + (102.5) Purple Energy Whirly Warrior
(based-ish on last sale on SCM)
Sale #2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075532147#!/compare/1493596800/1493769600
(77.5) Green Confetti A Well Wrapped Hat = (77.5)
(was used on the Well Wrapped)
Sale #3
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075532147#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400
+ (21.5) Circling TF Logo Flipped Trilby = (110) Showstopper Taunt: The Balloonibouncer + (11.5) Aces High Jumper's Jeepcap = (100)
(RIP B/O of 70 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28873288 )
Sale #4
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1491868800/1491955200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1491868800/1491955200
(bulk)
Sale #5
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1491782400/1491868800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313935698#!/compare/1491696000/1491868800
+ (5) Keys = (64.25) Molten Mallard Nunhood = (59.25)
-mini MM Nun (64.25)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313935698#!/compare/1491868800/1492041600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087172601#!/compare/1491955200/1492041600
+ (5.25) Keys/ref = (65.5) Phosphorous Master's Yellow Belt + (4) Genuine Specialized Killstreak Nostromo Napalmer
Sale #6
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313935698#!/compare/1490486400/1490832000
+ (10) Keys = (42) (duped) Purple Energy Waxy Wayfinder = (32)
-mini PE Wax (42 Keys)
Sold to scrap after repeated lowering of price with a final B/O of 42.
---------------
Sales @ 95, 70, 59.25, 32
Dropping: 32, 95
Rounding: 59.25
32 is probably low, but why are you dropping 95?
Is... is that a joke? http://i.imgur.com/bHDE1VN.png
I felt the 95, being the most recent trade, should be included and more closely represents the true value given the 100 key trade that was simply capped by B/O, but went with the advice of the three of you posted on the original suggestion.
oops. I'm stupid.
You're all good lmao. Upvote
Winger was added with the Whirly Warrior, so your Lucky mini should be 100 (capped by B/O). If it wasn't comfortably an outlier before, it is with the adjusted mini value.
I think the actual issue here is the Nunhood mini - the sale you used is fine and correctly tracked, but for an unpriced hat just using a single sale isn't the best option when multiple recent sales are available and data points are likely to be spread out.
I reviewed a suggestion for one of these previously - http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5909c113e3387771d2720bff - and my suggested Nunhood mini was 65-79, which I think is still ideal here. There is a seller asking for 70, but he has been letting his advertisements go inactive since he acquired the hat, so I would ignore that.
67-70 would be better here, with the new low-end coming as a result of the mini getting a range.
Thanks, messed up the math the winger (subtracted instead of adding).
I started a suggestion for the nun last night and quit before I was finished; I will resubmit this and complete that nun suggestion.