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Sale 1:
Sold for Smoking Milkman (14)
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993258470#!/compare/1488585600/1488758400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198234221848#!/compare/1488672000/1488758400
X = 14
Sale 2:
Sold for $29.24 on Marketplace.tf
https://marketplace.tf/items/179;5;u12
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149302057#!/compare/1491609600/1491696000
http://backpack.tf/item/4469205192
29.24/2.1 = ~13.9
X = 14
Sellers:
12 keys:
http://i.imgur.com/llBxGdl.png - 8 days, lowered
http://backpack.tf/u/76561198067575136
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29193281
>13 keys: (scrap.tf)
http://i.imgur.com/7uDlc4o.png
http://backpack.tf/item/3011252932 - almost a month
13 keys:
http://i.imgur.com/QuRViwv.png - 2 months
http://backpack.tf/u/76561198061836787
Offers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29200534
http://backpack.tf/u/76561197981353644
Sales at:
14 (2x)
Aged sellers at 12-13.
Going with 12-14.
Why are you capping a sale @ 12 before it has even matured. It's been up for only about a week.
8 days is more than long enough to be included in the range. Also, as I said in the suggestion, the price was lowered (most likely) from a higher price.