Suggestion: Circling Heart Your Worst Nightmare at 40–47 keys

Price Suggestion

~50 keys

heart

63 votes up

6 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Thu, 15 Jun 17 03:59:20 +0000 by K1ng.

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Comments

Broad strokes

SALES;

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058439196#!/compare/1495670400/1495756800

Sold + 8 keys for Ghosts Buccaneer (55)

= 47

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169018746#!/compare/1495324800/1495497600

Sold for 40 keys.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045311547#!/compare/1494806400/1494892800

Sold for 21 pure + S. All-Father (~4)

= 25 - low

Current young-ish seller at 45 and unsold at 50:

https://gyazo.com/e546f3f5d1757ce46fafdccba23bf664

Let it ride.

The Ghosts Buccaneer was worth 96 keys at the time of the sale. Please value unusuals by their price at the time of the sale in the future, thank you.

It was a year outdated at 96. Please read the rules.

http://prntscr.com/fdgsov quicksold for 39

sale #2 happened in 3 days

3 days doesn't seem too fast.

It's less then a week , it's surely quite fast.

For 40 keys? A week for 40 DEFINITELY ain't a quicksell.

Look, I'll wait on what the market's doing. Given that there's a seller at 45 right now, who is actively looking to get no more than 45 pure for this hat, I don't think 40 is an outlier. Especially if some time passes and he can't get 45 pure in a reasonable timeframe.

There is a huge difference between a week and 3 days and this suggestion isn't going to help the seller anyways.

If a week is so much more than 3 days why is "less than a week" your frame of reference? Does somebody just flip a switch as it lapses over 7 days that SUDDENLY makes it valid?

Look, there's no set rule over what is a quicksell and what isn't. It's about the market. I point you towards this suggestion:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/592304240e2cad2ff35419d4

It could very easily have been claimed that all the sales there were "quicksells." But because they were all that was coming out of the market, they represented the hats actual value. I believe that is the case here too, though I'm of course willing to wait for more sales to confirm that. It isn't QUITE as clear-cut as in the example, I grant you.

Not telling that there is a fixed rule , and the suggestion you pointed at has 4 pure sales which is quite a strong suggestion , and all I'm saying is 3 days is fast for a normal sale and the current seller is asking for 45 , not 40 , isn't there a reason why b/o drops are only after a month , selling for pure takes time ,if something sold for 40 within a very short period it's a quicksell provided there arnt many other sales around it ( 47 sale isn't close to 40 ) and there arnt many sales to suggest that 40 is the common trading point.

The seller for 45 dumped it on scrap.tf a week after listing it, then it was there for ~9 days, was bought for ~41 keys, and then sold again to scrap.tf.

http://backpack.tf/item/592593980

http://imgur.com/a/Wh4LA

So there are sales for 39, 40, 41, 47, plus unsolds at 50 (classies and marketplace). The low-end definitely deserves to be included in range because it's a common trading point, and I'm fine with giving this a conservative drop.