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60 keys? For lights?
SALES:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259739195#!/compare/1495843200/1495929600
Sold for Duped Stormy Bonk Boy (outdated at 39.5, mini at 39)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084959465#!/compare/1495843200/1495929600
Sold for Stormy 13th Fruit (Outdated at 46.5, mini at 38.5)
Rounding to 39
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164651434#!/compare/1495756800/1495843200
Sold for CV Sack (SUPER Outdated at 42, mini at 36.5)
Rounding to 37
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197159473#!/compare/1490400000/1490486400
Sold for 41 pure.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996856807#!/compare/1492387200/1492473600
Looks like 39.5 pure
Bonk Boy mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1495065600/1495152000
Sold for Bubbling Brainiac (18.5) + Spec Aussie Wrench (20) + Pro KS Gunslinger (~3.5)
= 42
Current duped seller at 36 https://gyazo.com/28f84522eaca6be5dd5d3b9089e2a215
Taking 36-42.
Fruit mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084959465#!/compare/1495929600/1496016000
Sold for Sunbeams Gym Rat (44.5)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998934095#!/compare/1494028800/1494115200
Sold for D@D Birdcage (30.5) + S.Apparition (~10.5)
= 32.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130013001#!/compare/1493078400/1493424000
Sold + Buds (2) for Vivid Fedora (WAY outdated at 38)
Taking the wide range based on the evidence, 32 - 45.
Sack mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1495497600/1495584000
Sold for Secret Janissary (41)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309563748#!/compare/1491955200/1492041600
34 pure.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066246096#!/compare/1491782400/1491868800
Sold + 3 keys + sweets (~1) for Aussie Rocket (35.6)
= 31.6 (Rounding to 32)
Taking 32-41.
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https://gyazo.com/489e17f7d634755a5c7a252d3bab7c27 Unsold for a month at 43, as long as that month is February. Young seller at 38.
Let it ride.
What d'you mean? I really light this hat.
The fruit mini is gonna be low; this was also added in the cage sale:
http://backpack.tf/item/295280510
Sack's low end is gonna be a few keys off as the aussie rocket was a couple o keys more when the sale occurred and the 34 sale quicksold. Personally I would not use the sack here, but would use it the other way round - if at all. Especially since both pure sales on this quicksold as well, I'd be hesistant to value it below that based on a super-outdated hat. Naturally there are too many sales here to ignore and the drop is definitely needed, but I feel as though it would require some finetuning
I'm looking for the evidence that the 34 key sale was a quicksell and I don't see it. Are you literally just basing that on the fact he didn't own it for very long?
Regardless, the low-end here would only go up to 39 because of the bonk boy sale, and the high-end would cap out at 43 since the fruit should would be... what, I guess 45-50, reasonably speaking? Since 36 is probably too low and the Cage sale http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28906754 had a B/O of 50.
Fine-tuning is definitely the word, though I appreciate the quick response.