Suggestion: Stormy Storm Trophy Belt at 17–21 keys

Price Suggestion

~83 keys

stormy

96 votes up

6 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Wed, 21 Jun 17 00:37:57 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Sellers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28730894 - b/o: 100 keys (4 months)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29208534 - b/o: 20 keys (23 hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28892478 - b/o: 28 keys (2 months)

Sold:

https://marketplace.tf/items/53;5;u29 - sold for $69.99 = 37 keys, $35 = 17 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046831877#!/compare/1494115200/1494288000 - ?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046831877#!/compare/1493164800/1493337600 - ?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28898993 - ?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1490832000/1490918400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095549699#!/compare/1490832000/1490918400 - ?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29132118

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138611987#!/compare/1494288000/1494374400 - sold for Eerie Orbiting Fire Coupe D'isaster (18) + 3 keys = 21 keys

Mini’s:

Eerie Orbiting Fire Coupe D'isaster:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/593167f3e338773d4d7058b0 = 18 keys

Conclusion:

sales at 17, 21, 37

taking 17-21 keys

Why is the 37 key marketplace sale being ignored, but the 17 is not.

Especially considering that the 17 key sale looks to be the outlier from the rest of the marketplace sales.

There was a $51 sale on marketplace, which is barely a week outside of the 3 month timeframe for sales. That would be ~24 keys.

37 is an obvious outlier looking at the sellers.

sales at 17, 21, 37. 17 is 4 keys away from 21 whilst 37 is 16 keys away from 21. again obvious outlier.

sales over 2 months old are considered outdated as mentioned here:

http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-guide-for-unusual-price-suggestions/

" Sales older than 2 months old are not valid proof; this does not mean that they are not useful. Feel free to include them to provide supplemental proof. Just don't rely on them to set your range.

Exceptions: For very rare hats, if there have only been 1-2 sales in the last 3 months, a trade up to 3 months old is okay to use as proof to establish more data points. Keep in mind, new sales should take precedence over older ones. "

this is not a rare hat and there have been more than 1-2 sales therefore this doesn't apply

so we got 3 buyers at 16.35 on classies which is pretty close to 17, Im thinkin that 21 flat might be better here