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Things just ain't the same for gangstas.
Times is changing, young niggas is aging.
The Watcher
Sale #1
Sold for 18 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28865830
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316005016#!/compare/1491868800/1492214400
= 18 keys
Sale #2
Wut
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013571735#!/compare/1489622400/1491091200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316005016#!/compare/1490832000/1491177600
Sellers
http://i.imgur.com/bxKJsHN.png
x2 at 2 keys, 1 at 1 week and 1 at 22 days.
Conclusion:
Sellers support that the current price is too high. A single sale at 18 keys, taking 18 keys as the new price.
Additional/Supportive and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.
Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ノ
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119009060#!/compare/1497484800/1497571200 - Caps at 24, per your screenshot of recent sellers
18-24 looks like it will work here.