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Sunbeams Executioner
Executing the overpriced.
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112279227#!/compare/1489449600/1489536000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045311547#!/compare/1488585600/1489449600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28839465 - B/O of 1000
Sold for a GE Cotton (400, indate), PE Greased (160, indate), Anti-Freeze Front (90, indate), Isotope Minigun (25.5, indate) + 15 keys pyure
400 + 160 + 90 + 25.5 + 15 = 690
X = 690
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096247397#!/compare/1496361600/1496448000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28769269 - B/O of 1000 “Stable price for awhile” xD
Sold for a Beams Woodsman (540, open suggestion) + Logo Rack (82.5, open suggestion) + Flies Sam (40, indate) + DBD Hermes (22.5, see mini below) + 12 keys in paints/kits
540 + 82.5 + 40 + 22.5 + 12 = 697
X = 700
DBD Hermes Mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112279227#!/compare/1494201600/1494288000
Sold for 23 keys pure + a bit under 1.5 keys in sweets
23 + 1 = 24
http://imgur.com/a/zTVub - Sellers going down to 21
Taking 21 - 24 (22.5)
X = 23
Rounding 690 to 700 for neatness. 20 day unsold @ 800 supports the drop.
Final Price: 700 keys
The Beams Woodsman suggestion looks good too me http://backpack.tf/suggestion/592d98f50e2cad4ee35dbd40
First sale has been done on March 4, and cottonhead was priced at 400 2 months ago, after the sale
It was priced on april 25th, 1 1/2 month after the trade, the old price was from 1 year ago, what do you think is better to use, a price thats within 2 months of a trade or a price thats older than 12 months? That's right we always use the price at the time of the trade.
Even tho the woodsman seems unstable as hell (there was a qs at 200 which is being resold at even 300 now) I think this suggestion should be fine at least as conservative drop. Real price might even be a bit lower than this.