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Resuggest from scratch since it's been a while.
[url]http://backpack.tf/item/282000356[/url] - duped but only one with recent sales
Both copies are in circulation.
Copy 1
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128828502#!/compare/1491868800/1491955200[/url] - April 11th
Sold with a Non-Craftable Summer Hat (6.35 keys), a Taunt: The Table Tantrum (1.15 keys) and 13 keys pure for a Green Energy Bonk Helm (in-date at 36-42 keys) = 19 keys
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092173139#!/compare/1491868800/1494633600[/url]
Bulk for a Demonflame Milkman
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119057660#!/compare/1493510400/1493596800[/url]
Bulk for a duped Sunbeams Connoisseur's Cap
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132226518#!/compare/1493510400/1493596800[/url]
Most likely bulk for an Infernal Smoke Taunt: Zoomin' Broom
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1493942400/1494028800[/url]
Bulk for a Scorching Flames Patriot Peak and a crapton of random stuff
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068429580#!/compare/1493942400/1494028800[/url] - buyer's side
Bulk???
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068429580#!/compare/1494288000/1494374400[/url]
4 day quickishsold for 23 keys pure = 23 keys
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042674879#!/compare/1494892800/1494979200[/url]
Quicksold "instantly" for 23 keys after seller couldn't sell it for ~5 days at 30 keys (see previous suggestion) = 23 keys
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1494892800/1494979200[/url]
<1 day quicksold for a Power Surge Stainless Pot (in-date at 26-30 keys) = 28 keys
Doesn't show up here but histories match.
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203197084#!/compare/1494806400/1494979200[/url]
<1 day quicksold for 23 keys pure = 23 keys
[url]http://imgur.com/a/S0bXP[/url]
Listed on backpack.tf for 13 days at 29 keys
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Copy 2
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309145474#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800[/url]
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273579483#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800[/url] - buyer's side
Only 13 keys show up, something is probably missing
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273579483#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800[/url]
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253093948#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800[/url] - buyer's side
Again, sold with a Strange Medi Gun (2.11 ref) for 13 keys? Something is missing
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253093948#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800[/url]
<1 day quicksold for a Disco Beat Down Aviator Assassin (4 months ago at 29-33 keys) and 1 key pure = 30 keys
Due to buyout 30 keys: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29192457[/url]
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334132684#!/compare/1495497600/1495756800[/url]
[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129564285#!/compare/1495497600/1495670400[/url] - buyer's side
4 day quickishsold for 25 keys 4 ref pure = 25 keys
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29198660[/url]
Listed on TF2 Outpost for 12 days at 28 keys
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Lowering with a duped hat:
[url]http://backpack.tf/item/489071838[/url]
[url]http://backpack.tf/item/171072736[/url]
[url]http://backpack.tf/item/495840579[/url]
No sales in the past year.
[url]http://backpack.tf/item/249553574[/url]
[url]http://backpack.tf/item/231079407[/url]
Current owners have no backpack.tf or Outpost activity in the past 6 months.
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[url]http://backpack.tf/item/301802808[/url]
Disappeared off the face of the earth.
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Sales:
19
23 QS x2
23
25
28 QS
30 QS
Sellers:
28
29
Question of the day: is 4 days a quicksell for a hat of this tier? I'm not counting it as one here, otherwise eveything would be a quicksell except the 19 sale :O
23 and below is obviously a quicksell price here, so not using those sales. Calling the 30 sale an outlier due to the two sellers below both unsold for almost two weeks. This also counters the old barely usable 31 sale from the previous suggestions. Including 28 because that sale is around the current buyouts on the hat. Including 25 because it did take a few days to sell, and it was a pure sale. Going with 25-28.
Comments, criticism, and extra proof are always welcome. Have a nice day!
themed because searing plasma looks kind of like sunbeams and this hat is a paper boy hat and newspaper carriers wake up really early to deliver the morning papers when the sun is just coming up!!1111!!!1!!11!!!1
And the Sun is a newspaper
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068429580#!/compare/1494288000/1494374400
To be honest I wouldn't consider this a quicksell at 23 keys.
http://backpack.tf/u/76561198068429580
User is premium on major trading sites (+ promoted?) so would have his classifieds listing well bumped. If it then takes 4-5 days to sell for 23 keys then I wouldn't consider it a quicksell. There are 2 other sales in this suggestion that would support a 23-28 key range, taking the 25 key pure sale as a middle ground.
True, but the other two sales at 23 keys both sold in less than a day. It seems to me like one 4 day sale at 23 keys is countered by two more recent <1 day quicksells at the same price.
While someone could say that 23 is a common trading point, this one sold for 23 in like 5 minutes:
http://backpack.tf/item/282000356
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203197084#!/compare/1494806400/1494979200
The other one sold in a day. I'm fine with calling 23 low and 30 high, and giving this a smaller range and a more conservative drop.