Suggestion: Blizzardy Storm Head Warmer at 45–60 keys

Price Suggestion

~300 keys

blizz

66 votes up

2 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Tue, 13 Jun 17 07:18:12 +0000 by Marty Birdman.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

Take 2; now with extra sale.

Excluded duped sales

Sale 1: Sold together with Something Burning This Way Comes Hermes (83) for Misty Skull Head Warmer (100) --> Bulk (sale would be low anyways with 27)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083529516#!/compare/1496102400/1496188800

Sale 2: Sold for Steaming El Jefe (20.5) + Professional Killstreak Australium Knife (24.5) --> 45

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054136616#!/compare/1492732800/1492992000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060375373#!/compare/1492905600/1492992000

Mini El Jefe: Sold together with Conga for 21 keys --> 20.5

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059490931#!/compare/1490659200/1491177600

Sale 3: Untraceable

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304138933#!/compare/1496448000/1496534400

Sale 4: 36 keys pure; IDs of the other items do not match

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152813004#!/compare/1496448000/1496534400

Sale 5: Sold for Burning Flames Handyman's Handle (42.5) + Pro. KS Australium Axtinguisher (<7) + 11 keys (Credits to Jarool) --> ~60 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29214579

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152813004#!/compare/1496793600/1496880000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123079591#!/compare/1496793600/1496880000

Edit: B/O was 60. See here: http://i.imgur.com/aeDYMlU.png

Buyers at 34 & 36. Sellers at 60. http://i.imgur.com/aeDYMlU.png

Sales at 36, 45, 60 (and if the first sale isn't considered bulk then 27)

Suggesting a range from 45-60.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28957762 - B/O 60

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1494201600/1494288000 - Blizzy Eagle + 13 pure, caps at 60

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053558381#!/compare/1496707200/1496966400 - Scorching Attendant for Headwarmer + Aussie Flame + ~2 keys in sweets, ~67, but B/O was 60 in your screenshot

Valid sales at 45, 60, 60, and 60. I would go with 60 flat here.

EDIT: Actually, the 60 key B/O in your screenshot was a different trader. Tippy vs. Trippy, two different Head Warmer owners at basically the same time. Weird.

Anyway, valid sales are 45, 60, 60 and 67 then. I'd still go with 60 flat, cutting the high end and the low end. 60-67 would probably be defensible, but 67 is also bulky.

Thanks for the new sales.

Why would we exclude 45 though? A range from 45-60 isn't that large really? I understand that 36-60 is a bit large but to me 45-60 looks like a normal range

Edit: Blizzardy Eagle might be in-date but has seller at 36 so it needs a mini IMO. http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Screamin'%20Eagle/Tradable/Craftable/30 This would support the 45-60 range further

The edit is a good point. If the Eagle were an accurate 60, we would exclude 45 because it isn't well-supported against a multitude of higher sales. But since it's already overpriced, it should likely fall somewhere between 45 and 60, and that sale might be more useful for updating it. I'm still not inclined to have 67 in the range since it's bulky, so current range will work.