Price Suggestion
~47.5 keys
cloud 9
Unusual Front Runner Cloud 9
65 votes up
2 votes down
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This suggestion was marked as bad price range and closed by Marty Birdman.

The price range was either too broad or did not accurately reflect how the item was traded. Therefore, this suggestion has been closed.

Message left by moderator:

Multiple higher sales, range needs to be adjusted

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Comments

Price seems high. All sellers ask 35 keys. Let's see what the sales say

http://i.imgur.com/NiT1RAY.png


Sale 1: 30 keys pure

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030058573#!/compare/1492560000/1492646400


Sale 2: Untraceable

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147463440#!/compare/1493078400/1493164800


Sale 3: Sold together with 17 keys pure + Strange Mecha-Medes + ~8 keys in items for Cloud 9 Salty Dog (54.5) --> 29.5; rounding to 30 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051452078#!/compare/1494979200/1495065600

(The sale was NOT used to price the Salty Dog so I think this is fine)


Sale 4: Untraceable; IDs don't match

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212072039#!/compare/1493337600/1493510400


Sale 5: Bulk

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038391383#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800


Sale 6: Sold for Circling Heart A Hat to Kill For + 6 keys in items; excluding

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112414874#!/compare/1494288000/1494374400

Was used to price Hat to Kill for: http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5915eca90e2cad6455500bd8


Sale 7: Sold for Circling Peace Sign Wraith Wrap

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123151330#!/compare/1495065600/1495152000

B/O was 41: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29178112

Should be used to update Wrath Wrap.


Sale 8: Sold together with 5 keys for Flaming Lantern Sergeant's Drill Hat (53) --> 53 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1496016000/1496102400

Mini Drill hat: Sold together with 10.5 keys for Smoking Hong Kong Cone (68) --> 58

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198321968821#!/compare/1496102400/1496188800


Sale 9: Bulk for Disco Beat Down Crone's Dome

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1495324800/1495411200


Sale 10: Sold for Eerie Orbiting Fire Hound Dog

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961172123#!/compare/1496620800/1496707200

Eerie Orbiting Fire Hound Dog is outdated by 5 years. Sale should be used to price the hat.


Sale 11: Sold together for Bubbling Well-Rounded Rifleman & 6 keys pure + ~1 keys in items

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071789057#!/compare/1492387200/1492473600

Has few sales so should be used to price the Rifleman instead


Sale 12: 28 keys pure; took long time to sell so no QS

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219821359#!/compare/1492300800/1492387200


Sale 13: Sold together with 4 keys for Neutron Star Neckwear Headwear (34) --> 30 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030050182#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071789057#!/compare/1494115200/1494460800


Sale 14: 26 keys pure; was QS --> excluding

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058439196#!/compare/1496361600/1496448000


Sale 15: 27 keys pure; sold within 4 days

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114635132#!/compare/1497139200/1497225600


Sales at: 27, 28, 30 30, 30, 53. Calling 53 an outlier. 27 might be QS.

Suggesting range from 28-30

Thoughts?

    I remember seeing the classified listing for the 28 keys pure. He said "30% off!" in the notes. The owner had not bumped it for several days, which is probably why it took so long to sell.


    Judging from the listing notes, it seems like Slip(the seller of the listing I noticed) intended to quicksell the hat but was offline so he was unable to respond to the offers he had received.


    Sorry that I can't provide a screenshot but I didn't know that the hat would be repriced.

      All other sales, except for sale 8, indicate a lower price though than it currently has. So this hats needs to be repriced.

        Yes but I'm not sure if 28 should be included in the range, because the owner obviously intended to quicksell but couldn't because he was inactive.

    Sale 3 was absolutely used to price the Salty Dog. It set the high end, and cannot be used here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/593b129f0e2cad746553de57


    Sale 1 was sold the same day it was listed for 30, but was up for a while at 37 before that: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28884675


    28 was left unbumped as mentioned in the comments, and ultimately sold to a bot's buy order, not valid here. Omitting 28.


    Sale #15 has the wrong link, but there are buyers for 27 on classifieds so it doesn't matter, it's invalid. Omitting 27.


    Drill mini for sale 8 is way too high. A better one: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002#!/compare/1495756800/1495843200 - ~41 keys worth of stuff, so 41 - 5 = 36, should be included


    Additional sales:

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030050182#!/compare/1494547200/1494633600 - Scatter + 2 pure, ~52, countered by sellers/probably would have been B/O capped


    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29186718 - B/O 35

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112279227#!/compare/1497657600/1497744000 - KaW Muffs + ~2 keys of sweets, ~34

    Muffs mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112279227#!/compare/1497916800/1498003200 + https://backpack.tf/item/5375295890, ~32, should be included


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1493942400/1494028800 - 37 pure, sellers for less but pure + within the past 2 months, should be included


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069559160#!/compare/1494460800/1494547200 - 30 pure (your own sale, took a day, why didn't you include this?)


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044949718#!/compare/1496016000/1496361600 - With Aussie BB for Slumber Muffs, ~45 but Muffs look high judging by sellers, better used there


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216561389#!/compare/1493337600/1493424000 - Searing Juju, unknown B/O, countered by sellers/probably better used on the Juju which will be outdated soon


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123151330#!/compare/1494547200/1494633600

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049267666#!/compare/1494460800/1494633600 - Showstopper I See You + 3 pure and 2 keys of sweets, ~36, Taunt was updated right after this sale occurred so price should be reliable here, should be included


    Sales: 30 (pure/1 day total), 30 (pure/1 day after re-listing), 30 (Neckwear), 34 (Muffs), 36 (Sergeant), 36 (Taunt + sweets) 37 (pure), 45 (Muffs, better used there) 45 (Juju, unknown B/O), 52 (Scatter, unknown B/O). Mature sellers for 34/35. It is obviously pretty easy to sell this for 30 pure and usually sells fast, but it's also a common trading point. No reason to omit 34, and 36/37 as well should be included as there are several sales at that value and 37 is full pure. Average of 33.5 still comes out below the current sellers, which is good. Other sales from your original proof at 27, 28, and 30 are invalid but support a drop generally speaking, and 45/52 are either too high here or better used for the other hats involved but support the inclusion of the higher sales. Please re-suggest at 30-37.