Sale 1:

Sold for Steaming Rimmed Raincatcher (10) + ~2 keys in items

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123288580#!/compare/1494806400/1495065600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103001146#!/compare/1494892800/1495065600

X = 12

Sale 2:

Sold for Haunted Ghosts Bombing Run (17.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29181796 - B/O of 12

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150783829#!/compare/1496016000/1496102400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039626023#!/compare/1495756800/1496102400

X = 12 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold with Strange Stereoscopic Shades (~1.5) for Blizzardy Storm Dead Cone (12.5)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272721695#!/compare/1493164800/1493251200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119629032#!/compare/1493164800/1494201600

X = 11

Sale 4:

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Heavy Duty Rag (12)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28894801 - B/O of 11

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076417722#!/compare/1493078400/1493164800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045068934#!/compare/1493078400/1493164800

X = 11 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 5:

Sold for Aces High Strontium Stove Pipe (Mini at 11.5 below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29178127 - B/O of 11

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147746253#!/compare/1496016000/1496188800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337244899#!/compare/1496016000/1496188800

X = 11 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 6:

Sold for 9 keys + 23 ref (>0.5) in ~7 days

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1494028800/1494115200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129116317#!/compare/1494028800/1494115200

X = 10

Sale 7:

Sold for 10 keys in ~3-4 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28991694 - B/O of 11

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129116317#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145940774#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800

X = 10

Sale 8:

Sold for 5 keys + ~5 keys in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28885079 - B/O of 12

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1492819200/1492905600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140058006#!/compare/1492819200/1492905600

X = 10

Sale 9:

Sold for 10 keys (Buyer’s compare link)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29187976 - B/O of 10

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1496016000/1496102400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284655297#!/compare/1496102400/1496361600

X = 10

Sale 10:

Sold for 9 keys + 4.66 ref

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335125350#!/compare/1494460800/1494547200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067441485#!/compare/1494460800/1494547200

X = 9

Sale 11:

Sold for Circling Peace Sign Brain-Warming Wear

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045068934#!/compare/1493164800/1493251200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372676773#!/compare/1493164800/1493251200

Was used to update the Peace sign one. Can’t be used here.

Sale 12:

Sold with several keys worth of items/metal for Orbiting Fire Halogen Head Lamp

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372676773#!/compare/1493164800/1493251200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068732040#!/compare/1493164800/1493251200

Should be used to price the Halogen.

Sale 13:

Sold for Aces High Ketche

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068732040#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074430595#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400

Can be used to update the Ketche.

Sale 14:

Sold for Cloud 9 Magnificent Mongolian

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140058006#!/compare/1492905600/1493078400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076417722#!/compare/1492992000/1493078400

Can be used to update the Mongolian.

Sale 15:

Bulk for Circling Peace Sign Toy Soldier

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098795277#!/compare/1494633600/1495065600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029979987#!/compare/1494547200/1494633600

Aces High Strontium Mini:

Sold for Neutron Star Wide-Brimmed Bandito (11.5) (Buyer’s compare link)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253891789#!/compare/1495411200/1495497600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124170894#!/compare/1495411200/1495497600

X = 12

Stove Pipe: http://backpack.tf/item/2255947323

And a 3 month old seller at 11 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/ovMyVxb.png

Going with 11-12 (11.5) for the Aces Strontium.

Sellers:

302.66 ref: (~10.5 keys)

http://i.imgur.com/7svFlcu.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198138536099

11 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/veXty1X.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198284655297

http://i.imgur.com/On03VLK.png - 12 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198145940774

12 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/vZNWFkY.png - 13 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198011321852

13 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/TPbqGQR.png - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198054945991

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29215361

14 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28893643 - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198071042558

15 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/fMlHHL8.png - 3 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198066311459

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28899951

Sales at:

9

10 (4x)

11 (3x)

12 (2x)

9 looks pretty low, and doesn’t sell too often either. Excluding 9.

Going with 10-12.