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~106 keys
stormy
Unusual A Hat to Kill For Stormy Storm
222 votes up
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Let's see what we got here:

Sale 1: Sold for Professional Killstreak Australium Black Box (17.5); IDs of the keys/Blutsauger does not match; rounding to 18

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088878793#!/compare/1493769600/1493856000


Sale 2: 17 keys pure; maybe QS

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1497312000/1497398400


Sale 3: 16.5 keys pure; rounding to 17

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088878793#!/compare/1496448000/1496534400


Sale 4: 14 keys + Dead Presidents Dead Cone (12) --> 26

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313018251#!/compare/1492819200/1492905600

Mini Dead Cone http://backpack.tf/suggestion/59426ecd0e2cad411c1e7612


Sale 5: Vivid Plasma Counterfeit Billycock (15.5) + Dead Presidents Dead Cone (12) --> 27.5; rounding to 28

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313018251#!/compare/1493856000/1494028800

Mini Dead Cone: http://backpack.tf/suggestion/59426ecd0e2cad411c1e7612


Sale 6: Sold for Aces High Minnesota Slick (19)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114635132#!/compare/1492473600/1492560000


Sale 7: Bulk

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028274974#!/compare/1493683200/1493769600


Sale 8: Bulk

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180484678#!/compare/1493942400/1494028800


Sales at 17, 17, 18, 19, 26, 28.

One of the two 17 sold really fast (within a day) whereas the other one took about a month to sell so I want to include it.

Seller at 23

http://i.imgur.com/JcDmpbA.png


Suggesting 17-26 and calling 28 high with seller and multiple sales below it. One might even argue 17-19 would be better but the sell order is only 1 day old. If it doesn't sell then we might need to lower the range

Thanks to Erik for his feedback here!

    Buyer at 16.4 should counter it tbh.

      Buyer at 16.4 should counter what exactly?

        it should counter 17 as 16.4 is very close to 17 and its not just 1 buy order but rather 2 , ofc you can argue that its quite far.

          16.4 is rounded down to 16 though and 2x sales at 17 show that it's part of the common trading range, at least that's my opinion...

    More sales:


    Sold for ~18.5 Keys, rounds to 19(Credits to Cashew for the sale)

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166691534#!/compare/1498262400/1498348800


    Sold for a Kill-a-Watt Gentleman's Ushanka(18 Keys) and a Steaming Attendant(B/O was 22)

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174785385#!/compare/1496275200/1499385600

    http://imgur.com/a/9PnNM


    I think it'll be fair to call anything above 22 an outlier, given the sales and B/Os at less that have appeared. 17-22 should be fine here.