In-date, but in desperate need of an update. Excluding all sales prior to the last suggestion (April 6th)

Sale 1: (May 28th)

Sold with Knifestorm Dragonborn Helmet (Mini at 92.5 below) + 22 keys for Burning Dapper Topper (225) + Sunbeams Blighted Beak (203) + Head Prize (3)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129254323#!/compare/1495929600/1496016000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025657905#!/compare/1495843200/1496016000

X = 317

Rounding to 315

Sale 2: (May 28th)

Sold with Duped Blizzardy Storm Le Party Phantom (Mini at 26 below) + Strange Pro. KS Festive Ubersaw (5) for Roboactive Pencil Pusher (300)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28888110 - No B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002186909#!/compare/1495929600/1496016000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129254323#!/compare/1495929600/1496016000

Confirmed here: http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Pencil%20Pusher/Tradable/Craftable/72

X = 269

Rounding to 270

Sale 3: (April 18th)

Sold for Green Energy Well-Wrapped Hat (227.5)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015070727#!/compare/1492473600/1492560000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005299438#!/compare/1492128000/1492560000

X = 228

Rounding to 230

Sale 4: (June 10th)

Sold for 125 keys (Most likely to a buy order)

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005299438#!/compare/1497052800/1497139200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048008254#!/compare/1497052800/1497139200

X = 125

Sale 5:

Sold with Aussie Black Box + 15 keys + Strange Spec. KS Festive Knife for Eerie Orbiting Fire Villain’s Veil

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025657905#!/compare/1496188800/1496275200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081793950#!/compare/1496188800/1496275200

Should be used on the veil.

Duped Blizzardy Storm Le Party Phantom Mini:

Sold for 26 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28907198 - B/O of 26

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075110874#!/compare/1494288000/1494460800

X = 26

Sellers:

190 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/ztUgfs9.png - 2 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198048008254

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29224717

245 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/INcCiQD.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198103342674

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28858949 - 2 months, was lowered at some point.

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:bfKhIm4S2lAJ:www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28858949+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=au

250 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/j7HZGTg.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198054422117

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29194427 - 3 weeks, doesn’t appear to be lowered

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:rgyjdw9mLw0J:www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29194427+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=au – Re-list of:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28875482 - 2 months from 330

275 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/0selD81.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198005782106

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28901265 - 1 month, couldn’t get anything cached.

290 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/JGZ5dMZ.png - Listed as 300 here

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29223305, re-listed from:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29218721 - 1 week

Sales at:

125

230

270

315

125 looks like an outlier, and most likely quicksold. Excluding 125.

315 also looks like an outlier, when compared to the current sellers. Excluding 315.

Seller at 190 is a bit too young to be included.

Additionally:

https://marketplace.tf/items/30808;5;u108 – Sale at ~$500.00 on marketplace here. This’ll be around 240, which will support the range here. Didn’t include it with the rest of the sales, as it occurred prior to the previous accepted suggestion.

Going with 230-270.