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~25 keys
eerie
Unusual Glengarry Bonnet Eerie Orbiting Fire
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Eerie Orbiting Fire Glengarry Bonnet

Redoing at 24-25 keys based on moderator comments.


Sale 1:

Sold with about 8 keys total for a Disco Beat Down Nanobalaclava.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198299673688#!/compare/1494633600/1494720000

Definitely low, but supports a drop.


Sale 2:

Sold with 6 keys for a Miami Nights Stout Shako and a Miami Nights Gym Rat.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253940521#!/compare/1494547200/1494633600


Minis:

All minis come from https://backpack.tf/suggestion/593fa12dc44045107b1b7684#comment-5947249be338774ee03f378a

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198318728315#!/compare/1495584000/1495756800 - Gym Rat mini, would be ~10.7 keys, rounding up to 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080250669#!/compare/1491868800/1491955200 - 20 keys flat on the Shako


This whole sale would be approximately 25 keys with rounding. Rolling with that as I don't see it being unrealistic.


Sale 3:

Sold with 4 keys for a Green Energy Counterfeit Billycock.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083574816#!/compare/1494288000/1494374400

Would be approximately 24 keys.


Sale 4:

Whatever it was, it'd likely equal 18 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118282932#!/compare/1494028800/1494115200


Sale 5:

Sold with 5 keys for a duped Scorching Flames Coupe D'isaster.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112564673#!/compare/1493510400/1493596800


Mini:

Looks like it sold for 26 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112564673#!/compare/1493596800/1493769600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134981180#!/compare/1493683200/1493769600 - keys on the Elf Esteem, I'm guessing it was bought with that L'Inspecteur.


I'll call this sale 21 keys.


Sale 6:

Sold with a Steaming Bone Dome for a Nuts n' Bolts Team Captain.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119662522#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400

This would be bulky in a sense. Not gonna use here.


Sale 7:

Sold for a Disco Beat Down Helmet Without a Home and ~6 keys in sweets.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161349548#!/compare/1493078400/1493164800

Buyout was 20 keys but sold quite above that in a less-than-a-day period. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28896116

Not capping.


Sale 8:

Looks like it sold for 20 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155954439#!/compare/1492560000/1492905600

https://backpack.tf/item/1211999438 - history


With only a sale to back up a lower end of 21 keys, it might just be best to call this 24-25 keys, especially considering that sale 7 happened very quickly and quite above its buyout.