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Eerie Orbiting Fire Glengarry Bonnet
Redoing at 24-25 keys based on moderator comments.
Sale 1:
Sold with about 8 keys total for a Disco Beat Down Nanobalaclava.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198299673688#!/compare/1494633600/1494720000
Definitely low, but supports a drop.
Sale 2:
Sold with 6 keys for a Miami Nights Stout Shako and a Miami Nights Gym Rat.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253940521#!/compare/1494547200/1494633600
Minis:
All minis come from https://backpack.tf/suggestion/593fa12dc44045107b1b7684#comment-5947249be338774ee03f378a
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198318728315#!/compare/1495584000/1495756800 - Gym Rat mini, would be ~10.7 keys, rounding up to 11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080250669#!/compare/1491868800/1491955200 - 20 keys flat on the Shako
This whole sale would be approximately 25 keys with rounding. Rolling with that as I don't see it being unrealistic.
Sale 3:
Sold with 4 keys for a Green Energy Counterfeit Billycock.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083574816#!/compare/1494288000/1494374400
Would be approximately 24 keys.
Sale 4:
Whatever it was, it'd likely equal 18 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118282932#!/compare/1494028800/1494115200
Sale 5:
Sold with 5 keys for a duped Scorching Flames Coupe D'isaster.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112564673#!/compare/1493510400/1493596800
Mini:
Looks like it sold for 26 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112564673#!/compare/1493596800/1493769600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134981180#!/compare/1493683200/1493769600 - keys on the Elf Esteem, I'm guessing it was bought with that L'Inspecteur.
I'll call this sale 21 keys.
Sale 6:
Sold with a Steaming Bone Dome for a Nuts n' Bolts Team Captain.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119662522#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400
This would be bulky in a sense. Not gonna use here.
Sale 7:
Sold for a Disco Beat Down Helmet Without a Home and ~6 keys in sweets.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161349548#!/compare/1493078400/1493164800
Buyout was 20 keys but sold quite above that in a less-than-a-day period. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28896116
Not capping.
Sale 8:
Looks like it sold for 20 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155954439#!/compare/1492560000/1492905600
https://backpack.tf/item/1211999438 - history
With only a sale to back up a lower end of 21 keys, it might just be best to call this 24-25 keys, especially considering that sale 7 happened very quickly and quite above its buyout.