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In need of a new price, using the most recent sales
Credit to Adolf Storms for some of the proof :)
Credit to Sprekt for informing me about decimals :)
Sale 1:
Sold for an infernal smoke box trot + pumpkin bombs festive grenade launcher + spec ks festive flare gun https://gyazo.com/f6cfe64829e0ac7b59ddd54eba526091
Box trot recently priced at 46.6 http://backpack.tf/suggestion/59060e71c4404559a631d74b
Couldn't find a reference for the grenade launcher, using 6 ref
Seller for the flare gun on the scm at 1.6 usd with multiple sales at that http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Specialized%20Killstreak%20Festive%20Flare%20Gun
Rounding the taunt+sweets to (47)
Sale 2 (mine)
Sold with strange quickie (3.11) + flashdance footies (1.44) + strange winger (1.55) + brim full (1.33) for a Screaming tiger buy a life (52.5) http://imgur.com/a/J8ayy
Adds are negligible (~0.3 keys) so counting the buy a life as 52 flat
Buy a life is recently updated and so shouldn't need a mini, although worth noting there are a lot of quicksells on classies http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Taunt%3A%20Buy%20A%20Life/Tradable/Craftable/3006
Further proof backing are the multiple sellers (including myself) accepting pure only at 40-44
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Harmburg/Tradable/Craftable/8
Worth noting however that there is a young classies seller and a mature one, shouldn't cause too much of a problem though.
Scrap.tf:
None currently for sale, sold for 30.5 pure relatively quickly as stated on Adolf's suggestion http://backpack.tf/suggestion/593187150e2cad5b782ccfc7
Omitting as an outlier
Any help/constructive criticism would be appreciated!
at least 2 sales at ~31 pure happened , and they were mature listings. can't ignore that. screaming tiger buy a life has sellers at 38-40 and an unsold at 45 for a month.
2 month unsold on the HG harm at 44 makes anything over that an outlier. but thanks for some creds lol
31 pure appear to be quicksales as they were full pure, the buy a life sellers also appear to be quickselling and the unsold at 44 is also looking for pure or 56 in unusuals.
Backpack.tf is here to represent pure values of items as best as it possibly can. If this cannot sell for 44 pure for 2 months, nothing above that should be even considered.
The 2 month old seller counters your range. The lower sales need to be included unless they sold quickly.
the 9 day listing on crap.tf for ~31 was a mature sale for sure. general rule of thumb is a week for every 25 keys... and if there are numerous sales around the same range it is no longer a 'quicksale' price, it becomes the common trade point anyways :)
Ahhh my mistake, closing and waiting for more sales I guess :)