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Disco Beat Down Tippler's Tricorne
Oh boy.
Sale 1:
Sold for a Starstorm Insomnia Cranial Carcharodon.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967816312#!/compare/1492560000/1498003200
Low, but I'll use it to support the low end rather than base the low end off of this.
Sale 2:
Sold for 15 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996831773#!/compare/1492300800/1493424000
Sale 3:
Sold for 16 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400
Sale 4:
Sold for 16 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1491523200/1491609600
Sale 5:
Sold for 20 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152444230#!/compare/1494115200/1494288000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182567266#!/compare/1494115200/1494201600 -the keys were immediately used to quickbuy the Frostbite Ol' Snaggletooth.
Sale 6:
Sold for $40 on Marketplace.tf.
https://marketplace.tf/items/179;5;u62
This would roughly be about 19 keys based on a key value of $2.10USD.
Sale 7:
Sold for 15 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072240925#!/compare/1493596800/1493683200
With all these pure sales in mind that are close together, I see no reason to discount a wide-ish range. Rolling with 15-20 keys.