Sale 1:

Sold for Disco Beat Down Napoleon Complex (Mini at 18.5 below) + 9 keys

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346118738#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262787556#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800

X = 28

Sale 2:

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Grimm Hatte (25) + 1 key + 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29189412 - B/O of 26

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044667221#!/compare/1495065600/1495238400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057172126#!/compare/1494892800/1495238400

X = 26

Sale 3:

Quicksold for 24 keys

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262787556#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141384533#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800

X = 24

Sale 4:

Sold for 24 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28591836

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995098207#!/compare/1495152000/1495238400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044667221#!/compare/1495065600/1495238400

X = 24

Sale 5:

Quicksold for 23 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29189879 - Seller confirms sale (legend)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057172126#!/compare/1494892800/1495238400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119461404#!/compare/1495152000/1495238400

X = 23

Sale 6:

Sold with 6 keys for Scorching Cadaver’s Cranium

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119461404#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346118738#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800

Was used on the Cranium. Can’t be used here.

Sale 7:

Bulk for Frostbite Toy Soldier + keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082467289#!/compare/1491264000/1491436800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069813252#!/compare/1491350400/1491436800

DBD Napoleon Mini:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/594a5278cf6c75287171ede2

Sellers:

36 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/qWHV8uJ.png - 7 days

https://backpack.tf/u/76561198061489334

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29218155

40 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28881004 - 2 months

https://backpack.tf/u/76561198069813252

Sales at:

23

24 (2x)

26

28

Most sales at 23 were quicksales for pure, and there is a buyer at 23 on the classifieds:

http://i.imgur.com/qoJx895.png

Excluding 23 and 24.

Pretty much every sale occurred in about a day, but that doesn’t mean we can’t use any of these sales. If they are actively selling for much less than what they are priced at, then it is clear that what it is selling for is the new common trading point. I will only be excluding the pure sales, for the reasons stated above.

Going with 26-28.