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Typo's on numbers!
Sale #1 -
Beams Phantom (85)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091539797#!/compare/1496016000/1496275200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135747549#!/compare/1496188800/1496275200
Sale #2 -
C Hearts Stash (125)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091539797#!/compare/1496534400/1496620800
Sale #3 -
Lantern Luchadore (63) + Beams VRH (78)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080785994#!/compare/1496620800/1496707200
Luchadoer Mini
63 key clean unsold, cant find any other clean sales! ---> http://imgur.com/EbuL4k6
Calling first sale a low outlier, taking 125 - 140
new sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015070727#!/compare/1498435200/1498608000 - sold for Scorching Flames Towering Pillar of Hats
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080785994#!/compare/1498348800/1498435200 - sold for Circling TF Logo Killer Exclusive + Haunted Ghosts Triboniophorus Tyrannus
I would go with 125-170 here using Blaze's second sale as the high end. 85 definitely seems low if it can sell for 125-140 in a day or two. The sales for 125-140 were typically pretty fast but clearly a common trading point as well, and nothing really counters adding 170 to the range here.