Fiesta time

Sale 1:

Sold in ~3 days for 19 keys + Mannrobics (1)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28885551 - B/O of 21

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093780775#!/compare/1492819200/1493251200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080187845#!/compare/1492819200/1492905600

X = 20

Sale 2:

Sold for 17 keys + >0.5 keys in metal/items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28877775 - B/O of 18

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1492560000/1492646400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093780775#!/compare/1492387200/1492646400

X = 18

Sale 3:

Sold for 17 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29235015 - Deleted B/O

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015384426#!/compare/1497830400/1497916800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278463603#!/compare/1497744000/1497830400

X = 17

Sale 4:

Sold in ~2 days for 16 keys to a bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29237696 - B/O of 17.5

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159519231#!/compare/1498003200/1498089600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358792130#!/compare/1497916800/1498089600

X = 16

Sale 5:

Sold for 16 keys

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657#!/compare/1495929600/1496016000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201316974#!/compare/1495584000/1496016000

X = 16

Sale 6:

Sold for 16 keys

No outpost for this one

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1496448000/1496534400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015384426#!/compare/1496448000/1496534400

X = 16

Sale 7:

Bulk for Cloud 9 Dapper Topper

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080187845#!/compare/1492992000/1493078400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081752665#!/compare/1492819200/1492992000

Sellers:

18 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/DUrRbW2.png - young

https://backpack.tf/item/215013770

https://backpack.tf/u/76561198358792130

http://i.imgur.com/Sauqbu3.png

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29204439 - 3 weeks

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:vyIaMKh2MrkJ:www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29204439+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=au – Has not changed

Sales at:

16 (3x)

17

18

20

Some of these sales sold pretty quickly, but given the B/O’s, current sellers, and the fact that there are no sales for higher, these sales that sold quickly should not be excluded.

I wouldn’t normally keep 16 in the range, however, it appears that the bot in sale 4 was buying for 16 keys, which would suggest that 16 is low, if bots are willing to pay that much. Excluding 16.

Going with 17-20.