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Sale :
Sold for 12 keys
No outpost
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119629032#!/compare/1497225600/1497312000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114372445#!/compare/1497225600/1497312000
X = 12
The other sale I found sold (with a cheap skin) for either a terror-watt gym rat, or a bubbling valley forge. Can’t identify which one it was, but either way, this can be used to update the hat it sold for.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29227146 - B/O of 13
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114372445#!/compare/1497225600/1497312000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068331350#!/compare/1497225600/1497312000
Sellers:
14 keys:
http://i.imgur.com/3miyx9o.png - 6 months
https://backpack.tf/u/76561197960271478
Sales at:
12
Going with 12 flat.
Judging by the Outpost profile of the Raincatcher seller, seems like it was traded for the Bubbling Valley, although histories don't match.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198114372445
The Valley was relisted several times for 15, 14, 13.5, 13 and finally 12 keys, so this should be ok.