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Skill Gotten Gains Taunt: Pool Party
Let's make a different range.
Sale 1:
Sold with 10 keys for a Green Energy Rotation Sensation.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1492473600/1492560000
Gonna call it 155 keys. We can round either way, and in this case I feel it'd be preferable to round down to 155 rather than up to 160.
Sale 2:
Looks like it was purchased with ~105 keys in items and sold for a duped Cloudy Moon Fancy Fedora.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163565717#!/compare/1498176000/1498262400
https://backpack.tf/item/5660776204 - Pool Party history
Sale seems proper low, but it'd support a drop nonetheless. Sold basically instantly as is.
Sale 3:
Sold for a Sunbeams Hustler's Hallmark and 3 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042132655#!/compare/1496880000/1496966400
Documented on that suggestion as better used here. Probably right. Calling this 103 keys.
Sale 4:
Sold for a Circling Heart Berlin Brain Bowl, 6 keys and a Bruiser's Bandanna.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147857818#!/compare/1496793600/1496880000
I'll round to 110 keys for neatness here. Brain Bowl's probably high but it'll likely be the best I can do here.
This range is fucking nasty, but honestly it's better than current price. Rolling with 103-155 keys based on the Hallmark sale being the low end and the Rotation Sensation sale being the high end.
New sale - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042132655#!/compare/1498089600/1498262400
Hallmark's range needed to be adjusted, so the low end here is unsupported: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/59501977cf6c7550496709bd
Competing sellers for 90 now, both young: http://imgur.com/a/WQKjE
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066396270#!/compare/1499817600/1499990400 - Added 20 pure for a GE Lucky, ~90
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066396270#!/compare/1497916800/1498867200 - Sold with ~40 keys in adds for a Logo KE (~100, but might be better used on KE)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057858014#!/compare/1494806400/1494892800 - Added PKS Collector's Bazaar for Searing Cotton and Neutron Cover, ~170 total
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123251772#!/compare/1499904000/1499990400 - Duped Scorching Chieftain (probably falls in any decent range)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042132655#!/compare/1498089600/1498262400 - ~80 in downgrades (Lucha needs a mini)
https://marketplace.tf/items/30570;5;u3007/Skill%20Gotten%20Gains%20Taunt:%20Pool%20Party - Cash sale for ~74 keys
Sales for 74 (Marketplace), ~80 (downgrades), 90 (Lucky), 100 (Logo KE), 110 (Brain Bowl), 115 (Hallmark), 155 (3 months+), & ~170 (Cotton). One of the sellers for 90 actually just dropped their price to 80. I would go with 80-115 here if you can give the Aces Lucha from the 80 key sale a decent mini. If not 90-115 is still much better than current. Either of those should work.