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Hot Brain Candy Knife (Well-Worn)
New price: 30-32 keys
[proof below]
SALE #1 = 22 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296076323#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198296076323 - no B/O
Sold for a Time Warp Counterfeit Billycock (22)
SALE #2 = 30 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164036774#!/compare/1496102400/1496188800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195731583#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Brain%20Candy%20Knife%20%28Well-Worn%29
Sold on SCM for $73.87 ( / $2,45 ) = 30.1 -> 30 keys.
SALE #3 = 28 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164036774#!/compare/1495843200/1495929600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216954553#!/compare/1495324800/1495929600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29193292 - B/O 40 key
Sold along 4 keys (mixed) for a Terror-Watt Stormin’ Norman (13) + Death at Dusk Pure Tin Capotain (23). 23 + 13 – 4 = 32 keys. Strange All Father was added making this sale about 28 keys.
http://i.imgur.com/JtdBba1.png
The Terror-Watt Stormin’ Norman is indate at 14 keys but has 2 matured sellers at 12/13 keys so it’s probably best to value this at 13 keys here.
SALE #4 = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296076323#!/compare/1493424000/1494374400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033661509#!/compare/1494028800/1494115200
Sold for a Sunbeams Nanobalaclava. Seems really high and also 1 year outdated. Going to exclude this.
SUMMARY
Sales: 22 / 28 / 30 keys
Sellers: SCM
The Counterfeit just dropped in price (was worth 25 before). The 30 key sale was full pure so I’d prefer to go with 28-30 keys here.