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It needs update, and we have few changes here. However, I'm wondering if it's legit.
Look: with the abundance of existing hats, only one of them was passed around. No one user didn't buy it for use, and then right after purchase put it on the market. As I thought, they wanted to get rid of their hats that they changed for it.
Another nuance: it has installed SPEC KS, and the listings focused on it. Owerwise, the conditions might have been different (only my perceptions).
-
Sales:
-
#1
22 pure.
Keys are not shown; scattergun was purchased for them.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174669427#!/compare/1498348800/1498608000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263344996#!/compare/1494201600/1497744000
X = 22
----
#2
Miami Nights Prince Tavish's Crown
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198290916628#!/compare/1496275200/1497830400
Mini:
22 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113844379#!/compare/1495497600/1497052800
+
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210225228#!/compare/1497830400/1498003200
23 keys ???
+
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1494720000/1494892800
25 pure
+
Sold with BS Mining Light (~22) for Abduction Universal Translator (~37). 37 - 22 = 15.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184007138#!/compare/1494720000/1498089600
Excluding bulk, have outcome ~23
X = 23
----
#3
Aces High Texas Ten Gallon
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117650169#!/compare/1497744000/1498348800
Mini:
Being sold for 25, young.
https://backpack.tf/item/2199413858 - no idea...
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1493424000/1493596800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256401206#!/compare/1493424000/1493942400
Miami Nights Bear Necessities + Strange Leftover Trap
B\O is unknown, obviosly asked OP for the Ten Gallon. MN BS unsold in 2 months at 26, current range 24-28.
Sale here
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082488182#!/compare/1491955200/1498608000 - no idea.
It's though to be close to 20-25.
----
#4
And finally
Eerie Orbiting Fire Stainless Pot
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185425611#!/compare/1493596800/1494374400
Updated, have a range. Using low-end, based on sales above, and given the potential killstreak role.
X = 28
I'm not seeing any actual evidence that sale #1 was for 22 keys specifically.
The Ten Gallon from sale #3 is now in-date at 23, and your update of the Crown passed so sale #2 can be safely valued at 24.
New sale for 24 pure: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027111474#!/compare/1499385600/1499731200
Regarding sale 4:
a. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185425611#!/compare/1493596800/1493683200 - 13 keys were added
b. Always take middle value for items involved
c. KS means nothing on unusuals
All in all, that sale will be a low outlier due to the keys added.
Another sale: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263344996#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800 ~30+ (keys were used for the Ambassador)
Sales at 18, 23, 24, 24, and 30+, with sale #1's value here been unconfirmed.
18 and 30 are outliers here, and 22 can't be included without proper evidence. Please re-suggest at 23-24.
Okay, but then we have 2 sales at ~30, isn't it? №4 28-31, and one you linked.
Like I said, 13 keys were added with the Tower in sale #4, so that sale's total value is 18.
Ah, ok then. Idk why I mised that keys when made this suggestion.