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1 Year Old Price
Couldn't find any buyers or sellers to back up previous upper bound of 15 keys
There isn't much activity with the unusual, mainly because there's ~19 in existence.
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28863617 // 13 Keys
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Birdcage&quality=5&particle=56
Solds:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015636402#!/compare/1497744000/1497830400 // 14 Keys
First suggestion, you can probably tell. If you find any extra evidence, please post it, I'd appreciate it.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111474592#!/compare/1495670400/1499558400 - bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015636402#!/compare/1497744000/1497830400
I am highly confident that it was actually the Eerie Orbiting Fire Ol' Snaggletooth that sold for 14 keys and not the Birdcage (both went to R+ubi).
I mean, why would R+ubi (known quick buyer), pay 14 keys for a hat worth 14-15 keys and then resell it for 11.6 keys in the classifieds? That doesn't add up.
Seems like the only 2 recent sales here are a sale to a quick buyer and a bulk trade.