Ancient Eldritch B’aaargh’n Bicorne (38-50):

EVENT SUGGESTION

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194775141#!/compare/1496793600/1496966400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363371528#!/compare/1496793600/1496880000

Sold + sweets (~0.5) for Sulph Guad (55.5)

= 55

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363371528#!/compare/1497052800/1497225600

Sold for Searing Herald (27) + TWatt Pith (17) + Smoking Dixie (Won’t have changed, 11)

= 55

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095820039#!/compare/1495670400/1495756800

It looks like 60 pure but I don’t think it’s actually a sale, it’s highly unlikely for DeadAndrei to pay over full price for some random hat like this, and none of the keys match. Tentatively leaving it out, but feel free to correct me.

https://gyazo.com/c71939e25e4fcb74971cfcb7e27ef3cd

Aging seller at 50

Let it ride.

ADDITIONAL PROOF BY THE KING:

Sulph Guad is duped, and sold for ~50 here:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118751626#!/compare/1497744000/1497830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194775141#!/compare/1496880000/1497830400

Histories in sale 2 don't match. Buyer's side shows a Green Confetti Prancer's + sweets added with the Bicorne

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998934095#!/compare/1497139200/1497225600

Histories are weird there, probably due to the main site server relocation. Better ignore it.

You also missed other sales that are less than 2 months old:

12 buds (21.6) + 16 keys ----- ~38 keys total

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1496707200/1496793600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194775141#!/compare/1496707200/1496793600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29184794 ----- B/O was 40 keys, took a while to sell.

Duped Misty Skull Attendant, which apparently was quicksold for 45 keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1495411200/1495497600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095820039#!/compare/1495411200/1495497600

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:Y4uPDeICEjgJ:www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29179655 ----- B/O was 40 keys, caps at that.

You can do a more detailed mini on the duped Sulph Guad and see if it ends up being lower than 50, but 38-50 should be fine.