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NON EVENT SUGGESTION!
Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092024622#!/compare/1491436800/1491523200 - 25 pure
Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092024622#!/compare/1493078400/1493164800 - Resold for 19 pure, took 19 days.
19-25.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28848263 - here is my 25 key sale, it took me 3 months tho
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028072716#!/compare/1493769600/1494028800 - most likely a miami cosa (which I bought for 21 keys of him) + ~3 keys worth of items, would support the high end
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28891406 - your 19 key sale went pretty fast actually, without further evidence I would exclude it
I would leave this up for another sale
https://backpack.tf/item/3593180388 this one was on scrap.tf a bunch, supports a drop kinda
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198224901504#!/compare/1499212800/1499904000 - bubbling sole mate, can be used to price that
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090062337#!/compare/1495756800/1499990400 - sold with 2 keys for a kill-a-watt charmers
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177759574#!/compare/1499904000/1499990400 - here is the charmers, 21 keys, supports the low end kinda
I'll accept as close enough, since buyers are still a couple keys lower.