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Power Surge Ol’ Snaggletooth (14-15):
EVENT SUGGESTION
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192243373#!/compare/1496620800/1496707200
Sold for Logo Billycock (Outdated at 18, mini at 14.5)
= 15
Mini for the Billy: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/595d60a6cf6c751ea346d34e
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173257210#!/compare/1496534400/1496620800
Sold for OF BombBeanie (12) + Spec Shooting Star (~2)
= 14
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192243373#!/compare/1496448000/1496620800 - ~2 keys of additional sweets added in sale #2 judging by matching histories - they were re-sold for all the refined in your compare, sale value is closest to ~16 keys
Billy got re-suggested at 16.5, so 16-17 is best here.