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team #6 event suggestion
Sale 1: Sold together with Orbiting Fire Kiss King (30) for Cloudy Moon Big Elfin Deal (70.5) --> 40.5; rounding to 40
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053856869#!/compare/1498694400/1498780800
Mini Big Elfin: 70.5 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5952a959cf6c75778a522847
B/O was 45 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29251182; basically he paid 55 keys pure for this but set his b/o to 45. Weird.
Sale 2: 55 keys pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1498608000/1498694400
Sale 3: Sold together with Something Burning This Way Comes Burning Bandana (49) + Strange Professional Killstreak Australium SMG (8.75) + 6 keys pure for Strange Cloud 9 Rotation Sensation (86.5) --> 22.75 --> Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085578518#!/compare/1495324800/1495411200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1495324800/1495411200
New sales
Sale 4: Sold together with 1 key for Circling Peace Sign Kiss King (54) --> caps at 49
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191774045#!/compare/1499472000/1499558400
Buyer is reselling for 49 https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Burning%20Bandana/Tradable/Craftable/19
Sale 5: Using this to update the Holy Grail Taunt which was priced 2 months ago but is already outdated (found more sales which indicate it is high)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334066390#!/compare/1499385600/1499472000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191774045#!/compare/1499385600/1499472000
40 might be an outlier in the end with these new sales. So I would suggest 49-55 as range.
The main problem here is with sale #2 it turns out: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053856869#!/compare/1498003200/1498694400
Merendas has been quickselling for a while now, and it looks like sale 2 was a bulk sale for pure. Wouldn't use that.
Sale #1 is better served on the Elfin - sort of bulky when applied to the Bandana so better off if used there.
A lot of this is riding on sale #4, and the Kiss King has a recent suggestion. I would wait for the outcome of that suggestion before pricing this, and in turn this can then be used for the Elfin and the Taunt.
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5963883fcf6c754af51a3e73
^Kiss King is too high and won't be fully fixed in the immediate future. You could try using some of what's there to give it a mini - keep in mind there is a month unsold of the Bandana at 49 now though: http://imgur.com/a/6K8p1
And since the Kiss King is continuing to drop, you might be better off waiting to update this altogether.