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~550 keys
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Unusual Hong Kong Cone Burning Flames
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that's a drop and a half


Sale 1: (huuuuuge credit to Sprekt)

Sold for Australium Tomislav(11) Australium Flame Thrower(14) + Australium Eyelander(28) + Midnigt Whirlwind I See You(18) + Showstopper Deep Fried Desire(30) + Steaming Buckaroos hat(10) Skill Gotten Gains Flippin’ Awesome(64) + Professional Killstreak Australium SMG(9) + Silver Cyclone Rock Paper Scissors(49) + Australium Medi Gun(22) + Specialized Killstreak Australium Force-A-Nature(10) + Australium Minigun(16) + Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher(34) + Miami Nights Dread Knot(10) + Haunted Ghosts Le Party Phantom(68) + Cool Backwoods Boomstick Shotgun(45) + Isotope Night Terror Scattergun(60) + Energy Orb Night Owl Sniper Rifle(69) + Professional Killstreak Australium Axtinguisher(7) + Energy Orb King of The Jungle Minigun(36) + Disco Beat Down Surgeon’s Stahlhelm(32) + Searing Plasma Large Luchadore(51) + Stormy 13th Hour Bloke’s Bucket Hat(43) + Strange Bubbling Villain’s Veil(38) + Disco Beat Down Soldered Sensei(39) + Purple Energy Handyman’s Handle(23) + Strange Stormy Storm Bonk Boy(40) + Knifestorm Glengarry Bonnet(39) + Green Energy Whoopee Cap(44) + Terror-Watt Antlers(143) + Scorching Flames Jannisary Ketche(30) + Disco Beat Down Letch’s LED(19) + Purple Energy Bloke’s Bucket Hat(31) + Disco Beat Down Virtual Viewfinder(238) + Circling Peace Sign Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet(16) + Green Energy Hetman’s Headpiece(23) + Nether Trail Neptune’s Nightmare(52) + Orbiting Fire Copper’s Hard Top(11) + Cauldron Bubbles Hot Rod(23) + Steaming Conjurer’s Cowl(15) + Tesla Coil Nobe Amassment of Hats(39)

proof: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123739261#!/compare/1498867200/1498953600

= 1599


Minis:


Deep fried:

https://gyazo.com/db476793a833b61286389b054aa3fff2

= 30


Buckaroos:

https://gyazo.com/6568551ef38707999241e4df89f6848a

= 10


Luchadore:

No recent sales.


Surgeon’s:

No recent usable sales.


Veil:

No recent sales.


Handle:

https://gyazo.com/d26614994789ff3f3566d923080fc96f

= 23


Ketche:

https://gyazo.com/3e2d517024dc06cf342975fc03404ad3

= 30


Bloke’s bucket hat:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159280527#!/compare/1497657600/1497744000

= 31


Bonnet mini:

No recent sales.


Neptune’s mini:

No recent sales.


Copper’s:

No recent sales


Hot Rod:

No recent sales


Cowl:

Mini isn’t that necessary


Tesla Noble:

https://gyazo.com/00f510f3068de76e186ace972468fe47

= 39


sale 2:

sold alongside a smoking luchadore (11) for a golden pan (1100)

proof: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115062041#!/compare/1499472000/1499558400

=1089


rounding sale 1 from 1599 to 1600

rounding sale 2 from 1089 to 1100

1100-1600

    That is alot of stuff...

    that range tho

      Pan trade could have been a QS? People genrally overpay lot when it comes to pans.

      Garp got it pretty cheap from the unboxer and had a pretty big profit margin which could explain the low end sale.

        like you "Your comment needs to be at least 10 characters long."

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174203179#!/compare/1498867200/1498953600 - sale at ~500-600 keys maybe (removed stuff) - low outlier


        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132066578#!/compare/1496880000/1499385600 - sold with a scorching practioner for a mn dragonlore + kara fade

        https://csgo.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132066578?time=1499385600 - sale should be around 900-1100 keys, depending on pattern and float


        https://opskins.com/?loc=shop_view_item&item=168024159 + https://imgur.com/HdwVGvx + https://backpack.tf/item/5900137079 (credits meet the spy) - seller for 2000$ right now (same guy who paid 1600 keys)


        A couple of these have been unboxed recently, that's why there is a sudden influx in sales.

        Let me summarize all our data points:

        1 sale for 1600 keys in unusuals

        1 sale for ~1100 keys pure (golden pan).

        1 sale for ~900 keys (cs:go items)

        1 sale for ~600 keys (unusuals)

        1 seller at ~1000 keys for cash.


        One thing is clear, this is no longer worth 2000 keys, people gladly sell this for ~1000 keys in pure/cash/csgo items. I think its fair to call the 600 key sale an outlier, but I don't think its fair to ignore all other lower data points. Going for a wider range to also include the unusual sale seems ok, this should cover the hats price pretty fairly. Remember we care about the pure values of items, and we are also after common trading points.