Price Suggestion
Steaming Brotherhood of Arms
Submitted by Erik
~31 keys
steaming
Unusual Brotherhood of Arms Steaming
97 votes up
16 votes down
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Steaming Brotherhood of Arms


New price: 47-51 keys

[proof below]


SALE #1 = 47 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143226459#!/compare/1497225600/1497312000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1497225600/1497312000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29209565 - B/O 47 keys

Sold for a Scorching Flames Ol’ Snaggletooth (43) + 13 keys + 1 keys in sweets = 57 keys.

Capping at B/O.


SALE #2 = invalid


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197287330#!/compare/1498608000/1498694400

Invalid.


SALE #3 = invalid


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164555000#!/compare/1494547200/1494633600

Seems high, better used there.


SALE #4 = 51 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164555000#!/compare/1494460800/1494547200

Sold for a Scorching Flames Pugilist’s Protector (29) + 22 keys = 51 keys.


SALE #5 = invalid


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020178698#!/compare/1493769600/1493942400

Was used there.


SUMMARY

Sales: 47 / 51 keys

Sellers: -


Going with 47-51 keys.

    recent trade done was ignored, details as below


    PurpleConffeti Skullcap Downgraded For:


    A Neutron Star Unusual Conquistador: 27 Keys

    A Steaming Brother Hood Of Arms: 62 Keys

    Unusual Taunt: Battin' a Thousand: 41.5 Keys

    Sweets: 1 Keys And 9 Ref


    Proof: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143226459#!/compare/1499558400/1499644800

      The BoA is less than 50% of the trade so that's considered a bulk sale. Invalid.

      Looks like OP picked only low end and ignored recent trades or trades about value. B/O used instead while trade was done at 57. Looks like 1 trade done at 51 mixed, 1 at about 62 unusuals (recent) & 1 at sale 3(high). Sale 5 also looks to be about 62 keys unusuals. Would suggest 57-62 as price instead, since there was 2 trades at 62, one at 57, one at 51(probably outlier) and 1 at sale 3(outlier)

        Sale 1 is 47 keys because that's his B/O. Sure, he overpaid, but backpack.tf wants to reflect what an unusual would sell for in pure. The owner of the unusual clearly did not value it above 47 keys so we are capping at that.

        Sale 2 is invalid because it appears to be a low quicksell.

        Sale 3 should be used to update the other unusual instead.

        Sale 4 is perfectly valid.

        Sale 5 is invalid because it was used to update the other hat and therefore can not be used to update this hat.


        47-51 looks fine to me.

          Yeah, but for all you know, he may have changed his mind about the B/O. Trade at 57 was also done with r+ubi in the end, who usually demands a mild OP. Sale 1 looks really dodgy to be put as 47 to me. I mean, looking at it logically, sale 3 and sale 5 were done at 62 and high outlier respectively.


          From bp.tf pricing suggestion rules:What does not count as evidence?

          Evidence must not be cherry-picked. If an item is easily selling at a price outside of your suggested range at the current time, you should seriously reconsider if your suggestion is valid. Your suggestion might end up being closed if wiser users opposing your suggestion point out a list of active trades well out of the range you suggested.


          Seems like more active trades were done at about 62, bulk or not. 2 trades done at 62-ish, one at 57, one at 51 and one high outlier.

          Data looks more cherry picked than properly suggested to me.1 trade done high, 3 trades done at about 57-62 range, only one trade done at 51, and only a B/O that wasn't done at 47 keys. Suggestion looks invalid to me.....Several trades done at 57-62, about 10 keys higher than suggested

            Sale 3 and 5 are invalid so there is no 'sale 3+5 at 60 keys' or anything in that area, the sales are invalid, period.

            The only valid sales involving the Steaming BoA are the 47 key and 51 key sale.


            Check my comment below.

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106233311#!/compare/1494201600/1494460800

        Sold for a Green Confetti Headwarmer (open suggestion at 38) + Peace Sign Ol' Snaggletooth (20) and 1 key was added along the Steaming Brotherhood of Arms.

        38 + 20 - 1 = 57 keys.


        https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5965ca03cf6c751bc73bd191


        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28909485

        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29173231 (reseller also valued at 54 keys)

        B/O was 54 keys so should be able to cap.


        X = 54 keys.


        Don't really want to use this sale here since it's 2.5 months old. However, it should be able to support the high end here and oppose the comments here that this hat is apparently worth 60+ keys as both parties involved did not value the hat above 54 keys and sales tend to be around 50 keys as well.

          More sales:


          Sold with ~9 Keys in Sweets for a Hot Blitzkrieg Medi Gun(Factory New)

          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190078474#!/compare/1499817600/1499904000

          Outdated at 50. Should be used for that, would be a low outlier otherwise.


          Quicksold for 39 Keys

          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163549413#!/compare/1499644800/1499731200


          Sold for a Morning Glory Desert Marauder(57.5 Keys) and ~1.5 Keys in Sweets(59 Keys total, Outlier)

          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050959046#!/compare/1499904000/1499990400


          Cutting the low sale(~41) and the high sale(59). Not cutting them would get a median that'd be pretty close to this either way. This should be fine.