Blizzardy Storm Tippler's Tricorne

[url]https://backpack.tf/item/1166439767[/url]

[url]https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114820320#!/compare/1496188800/1496361600[/url]

Sold for a Strange Specialized Killstreak Australium Black Box (13 keys)

Buyout 14 keys: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28949362[/url]

= 13 keys

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[url]https://backpack.tf/item/1699886065[/url]

[url]https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153245575#!/compare/1495411200/1495497600[/url]

1 day quicksell for a Terror-Watt Capo's Capper and 1 key - better used there

Buyout 13 keys: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29194177[/url] - probably caps

= 13 keys

[url]https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328390406#!/compare/1495584000/1495670400[/url]

2 day quicksell for a Searing Plasma Geisha Boy (1 month at 15 keys) and 10 ref

Buyout 14 keys: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29195718[/url]

= 14 keys

[url]https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262763716#!/compare/1496361600/1496448000[/url]

LOL?

[url]https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173404791#!/compare/1497398400/1497571200[/url] - buyer's side

Sold with 2 keys for a Stormy Storm Crocleather Slouch (using there)

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[url]https://backpack.tf/item/1457358286[/url] - duped

[url]https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055314851#!/compare/1497830400/1498953600[/url]

Sold for a Bubbling Backwards Ballcap (2 weeks at 15-16 keys)

Buyout at 13.5 keys: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28901645[/url]

= 14 keys

[url]https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026523931#!/compare/1499385600/1499472000[/url]

Sold for a Steaming Demoman's Fro (a bit outdated at 13 keys, but looks still accurate)

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Sellers:

[url]http://imgur.com/a/VcRDw[/url]

[url]https://backpack.tf/item/1430940224[/url] - 12.37 keys for 27 days

[url]https://backpack.tf/item/618179879[/url] - 13 keys for 3 days

[url]https://backpack.tf/item/1457358286[/url] - 13 keys for 6 days

[url]https://backpack.tf/item/4921776246[/url] - 16 keys for 15 days

[url]https://backpack.tf/item/531378537[/url] - 16 keys for 4 months

[url]https://backpack.tf/item/1399392488[/url] - 17 keys for 5 months

[url]https://backpack.tf/item/1270282343[/url] - 17 keys for 4 months

[url]https://backpack.tf/item/3959656497[/url] - 18 keys for 11 months

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29228837[/url] - same as above

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29266403[/url] - 13 keys for 4 days, same as above

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29266240[/url] - same as above

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29255827[/url] - 13 keys for 11 days

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Sales:

13 QS

13

14 QS

14

Including 12 in the range due to the 27 day unsold at that price, however, it's by a bot that probably only takes pure, and this hat clearly can sell for 13-14 in items, so I'm not excluding that from the range. Going with 12-14.