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Sale 1:
Sold for 41 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28812955 - B/O of 42
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071869486#!/compare/1493164800/1493337600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071012049#!/compare/1493251200/1493337600
X = 41
Sale 2: (Dupe)
Sold for 40 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045207853#!/compare/1496620800/1497312000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047717809#!/compare/1496707200/1497312000
X = 40
Sale 3:
Sold for 37 keys
No outpost
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061665716#!/compare/1497657600/1497744000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045207853#!/compare/1497484800/1497830400
Keys were then spent on the Aussie RL
X = 37
Sale 4:
Sold with 8 keys for Haunted Ghosts Liquidator’s Lid
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138718997#!/compare/1495929600/1496016000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126190606#!/compare/1495670400/1496016000
Sellers:
42 keys:
http://i.imgur.com/z3pPGc7.png – Duped, definitely re-listed
http://i.imgur.com/9FQMQjT.png - Clean, definitely re-listed
Sales at:
37
40 (Duped)
41
The Dupe sale here probably means that the next suggestion can be based off of dupe sales, if I understand that rule correctly.
Going with 37-41.