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Power Surge Crocleather Slouch
[url]https://backpack.tf/item/1659279065[/url] - duped
[url]https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074924284#!/compare/1497571200/1497657600[/url]
Sold for a Disco Beat Down Cloud Crasher (2 days at 28 keys)
= 28 keys
[url]https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046027406#!/compare/1497571200/1497657600[/url]
1 day quicksell for an Electrostatic Caribbean Conqueror, a Coffin Nail Scattergun (Factory New) (~1 key), and a Torqued to Hell Wrench (Minimal Wear) (~18 ref)
Active suggestion on the Conqueror for 23 keys: [url]https://backpack.tf/suggestion/596cf6e8cf6c752dcc0c0199[/url]
Buyout 26 keys: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29232089[/url]
= 25 keys
[url]https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120208294#!/compare/1497916800/1498089600[/url]
2 day quicksell for an Orbiting Planets Frickin' Sweet Ninja Hood
Buyout 24 keys: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29236523[/url] - probably caps
= 24 keys
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[url]https://backpack.tf/item/1648714964[/url] - duped
[url]https://marketplace.tf/items/344;5;u68[/url]
Sold for $67.26 with key price at $2.04
= 33 keys
=======================================================================
Sales:
24 QS
25 QS
28
33
24-25 consistently sells in 1-2 days, making that a quicksell price. Going with 28-33 keys.
Lowering with duped sales:
No non-duped sales in the past year. One clean owner is original owner, never sold for 4 years, active in TF2 but doesn't trade as far as I can tell. Other is in private backpack for 1 year, not sold for 3 years. Seems alright to lower with duped sales here.
The Ninja sale shouldn't be capped at the B/O given that it quicksold, so it would fall in range here. Anyways, that sale is being used for the Ninja right now.
The Caribbean sale might be low, so I'm fine with giving this a conservative drop.