Sale 1:

Sold for 9 keys + Skin (~3)

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211212801#!/compare/1499558400/1499817600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144816388#!/compare/1498867200/1500508800

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Liquid%20Asset%20Stickybomb%20Launcher%20%28Minimal%20Wear%29

This thing has buyers at ~2 keys worth on the SCM, and sales at around 3 keys.

X = 12

Sale 2:

Sold for 9 keys + minor items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255365898#!/compare/1497744000/1498348800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198315356701#!/compare/1497744000/1498348800

X = 9

Sale 3:

Bulk

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198345451202#!/compare/1498780800/1498867200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189133167#!/compare/1498780800/1498867200

Sale 4:

Sold with 2 keys + MVM items (<0.5) for Power Surge Conquistador

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189133167#!/compare/1498780800/1498867200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211212801#!/compare/1498780800/1498867200

Was used on the Conquistador. Can’t be used here.

Sale 5:

Bulk for Mallard Toy Tailor

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087172601#!/compare/1498780800/1498867200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070318593#!/compare/1498780800/1498867200

Sale 6:

Bulk for Scorching Steel Shako

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164036774#!/compare/1499040000/1499126400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232122560#!/compare/1499040000/1499126400

Sale 7:

Bulk for Mega Strike Second Rate Sorcery

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031126990#!/compare/1493337600/1493424000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204122360#!/compare/1493337600/1493424000

Sale 8:

Bulk for Nuts VVF

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204122360#!/compare/1494288000/1494460800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054758757#!/compare/1494374400/1494460800

Sellers:

11 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/IJ1nO3F.png - 17 days

13 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/4bQluR1.png – 27 days

Sales at:

9

12

9 quicksold. Excluding 9.

Aged seller at 11.

Going with 11-12.