Take 3

The seller at 25 refined sold one in the last 24 hours :

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103071005#!/compare/1500681600/1500768000

https://backpack.tf/item/2045131516

This is a follow-up to this suggestion :

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/59722b5bcf6c7504bf52832a

Quoting Teeny Tiny Cat, "There's a hidden buy order at 18, so [14 refined] does feel on the low side."

So I ignore the sales at 14 refined pure.

I'll use SCM as proof for the lower-end :

https://i.imgjar.co/jar/P6RFiq_SokOJJhoKhTGgEQ.png

There's a buyer at $1.80, so I ignore sales for lower than that.

The lowest sale from the last week above $1.80 is at $1.85, or 22.289 ref -> ~22.33 ref with keys at $2.49

The highest sale from the last week is at $1.97 or ~23.55 refined

The seller at under 1 key sold one again

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103071005#!/compare/1500940800/1501027200

https://backpack.tf/item/2079070129

But he relisted the item in the snapshot at 29 refined and the sale above is untraceable

I'll just close this because this is too confusing for me, especially with the stuff like "bought at 13 refined", and that the market seems unstable