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I can't sleep.
1.
Sold for an Aussie Blutsauger:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079655815#!/compare/1500508800/1500595200
Probably an outlier. Unusable
2.
Sold for 8 keys pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094493995#!/compare/1500076800/1500508800
Sold for $18 (keys $1.87) and $19 (keys $1.95) on marketplace
https://marketplace.tf/items/358;5;u59
19/1.95= 9.75, rounding UP to 10.
18/1.87= 9.62, rounding DOWN to 9.5
Taking 8-10. Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.
Keys were never below $2 on marketplace when any of those sales occurred; they were roughly $2.05 at the time of each sale.
Both of your cash trades are then ~9 Keys.
So the whole "backpack.tf community market value" thing is inaccurate? Referring to this https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key/Tradable/Craftable