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King basically fed me, all credits to him!
The one in your screenshot ended up selling for 12 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1501200000/1501286400
The one from the unusual bot most likely sold for the pure amount listed there (12.5+), but not all keys match here:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076695528#!/compare/1500249600/1500681600
Other sale: Purple Confetti Bombing Run (13)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306746603#!/compare/1501459200/1501632000
12-13 will work here.
12-13 it is!