Suggestion: Demonflame Master's Yellow Belt at 130–200 keys

Price Suggestion

~7550 keys

demonflame

18 votes up

12 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Tue, 08 Aug 17 21:43:28 +0000 by Horizon.

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Comments

#Sale 1

Sold for 200 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29232946 - B/O of 200

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053700606#!/compare/1498176000/1498262400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027768238#!/compare/1498176000/1498262400

#Sale 2

Bulk for GE VVF

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172987227#!/compare/1492214400/1492300800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070474543#!/compare/1492214400/1492300800

#Sale 3

Bulk for Burning Pullover

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033378852#!/compare/1496448000/1496534400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049054413#!/compare/1496448000/1496534400

#Sale 4

Sold with 45 keys for Duped Sunbeams Pyromancer’s(174) in ~2 days ~ 130

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049054413#!/compare/1496620800/1496707200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053700606#!/compare/1496620800/1496707200

#Sale 5 (Credits to Woifilicious and spotlighteR)

Sold for 120 keys pure ~ QS

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055847835#!/compare/1492387200/1492473600

http://imgur.com/a/irttN

Mini for Duped Pyromancer (Credits to SpotlighteR)

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/594ee29bcf6c755003083cdb

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220702228#!/compare/1488672000/1489449600 - Sold + 1 Key for a Harvest Moon Dr's Dapper Topper (174 Keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140010255#!/compare/1489363200/1489622400

Previous Suggestion https://backpack.tf/suggestion/595d039fcf6c751be5435891

Going with 130 - 200

can someone rage in this suggestion and be like

WHERE THE FUCK IS THE CREDIT TO LILA

I would exclude the 130 sale here. Not only did it sell very quickly, but the 200 sale was full pure and more recent.

check previous suggestion woifi said to resuggest at 130-200 ?

it was open for a month at flat 200

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/595d039fcf6c751be5435891

Interesting, quicksold for 120, 130 sale sold quickly aswell, full pure at 200... Cant see a reason for the range, but oh well.

I have to disagree with Woif here.

The sale at 120 quicksold which proves it can sell for that amount of pure with no hesitation. The 130 sale is not much higher and the mini on the Mancer only has one sale to back up this value, it could easily be +-10 keys. This sale is also older than the 200 sale. Both of those sales are also older than the 200 pure sale.

Not only that, but the guy that paid 200 pure is keeping it. I feel that 130-200 doesn't accurately represent the value of this item here.

Also, I don't deserve credit for the duped Beams Mancer's mini. Shuffle Spy discovered that one, not me.

Sales like the last buyer's purchase here are very typical outliers though. I am not against using those as flat values if they are the only sales, but there are two sales here that strongly speak against 200 flat here.

Don't forget that we are after the common trading points, and that sales to collectors are usually far higher than said common trading point

I understand that the values of the other 2 sales go against 200, but they both sold very quickly. If you want to accurately represent the value of this item then I believe that leaving 130 out of the range is the way to go here.

I'm against using margikarp sales as the sole high end especially with evidence to counter that.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/590f4b750e2cad19553e5a2c - that was a sale of him, overpaid by more than 100 keys for a ge stash

You also said that the beams mancer mini is iffy, well what if it is 10 keys higher? 140-200 would be an clearer range and not much difference to this price, and it can't be that much higher considering the clean price.

Lila tried to sell it for 200 keys too for a month without any success, Loaferman either brokered it for him or quickbought it.

Oggun is very active on trade servers from time to time, he often quickly flips hats, but I wouldn't call this an outlier just based of that.

Without any more evidence I don't feel comfortable at all calling this 200 keys flat.

I would buy this for 130 pure.

make a buy order at 130 pure to support this :P