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1/1[*], not looking to sell this ever again.
Sale 1 (han → BUTTPLUNDER)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28863713
The trade consisted of six items total which only were sold as a 'set'.
It sold for the listed price of 400 keys pure.[‡]
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115775158#!/compare/1500768000/1501113600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115775158#!/compare/1500768000/1501113600
The keys do not show up in either comparison, as well it seems that the beak has been traded separately[§].
Valuing the Beak:
Total Value = 131.37
Beak Value 1 = 268.63 (400 - 131.37)
Sale 2 (BUTTPLUNDER → ptrckr)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29310862
Sold for a Harvest Moon Beak (435, recently updated) and 200 pure.
http://i.imgur.com/O29nGbm.png
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071943433#!/compare/1502150400/1502409600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060233163#!/compare/1502323200/1502409600
Beak Value 2 = 635
Final Price
Rounding both prices according to the rules we end up with a range of 270–640.
I'd rather price it at a flat 640 since it's the newer and highly clearer sale while the other one was a bulk cashout.
But I must not cherry pick and could not find any rule against large ranges like this.
If you have any remarks please let me know, thanks.
Notes
* Known to bp.tf as of now.
‡ http://i.imgur.com/0S0NYau.png
§ https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071943433#!/compare/1500940800/1501027200
this range..
Tell me about it. :D
Its wonderfull
Sale 1 looks like a QS, I know I would pay near that amount of pure for a hat this nice.
Think so too, as well as the seller sayin: 'SELLING CHEAP FOR 400 KEY'.
Do you think I'm able to exclude the first sale?
I would definitely drop 270 from the range. Not only is a range this large implausible, but the 270 sale looks like a quicksell for keys.
That aside, congratulations on the purchase! This is an awesome Beak for sure.
Probably this sale could not be excluded, it took 3 months him to sell ;(
http://imgur.com/a/JNUDG
The info on Tf2outpost trades can be edited, there's no way to know how long he was "quickselling" for.
What is this range? Downvote. This does not provide an "accurate" representation of the item's value.
Your high end is over double your low end.