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Hermes mini:http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29296089
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078057495#!/compare/1501027200/1501200000
Sold for PFetti Dapper (45)
= B/O of 37
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063099003#!/compare/1500595200/1501027200
Sold + 1 key for D@D Metal Billycock (34)
= 33
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044203779#!/compare/1500508800/1500595200
Sold + sweets (~10) for Sunbeams Larrikin (44.5)
=34.5 (Rounding to 35)
Let it ride.
The Dapper is duped, but sold for $97.86 here:
https://marketplace.tf/items/252;5;u7
Even if we take the median between the two most recent sales, the sale should easily cap at 37.