Suggestion: Terror-Watt Frontier Djustice at 25 keys

Price Suggestion

~44 keys

terror-watt

67 votes up

5 votes down

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This suggestion was marked as bad price range and closed Sun, 01 Oct 17 00:36:32 +0000 by Marty Birdman.

The price range was either too broad or did not accurately reflect how the item was traded. Therefore, this suggestion has been closed.

Message left by moderator:

Most evidence supports that 25 flat is too high - single semi-bulky sale supporting that value, should be left unpriced for now

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Comments

I'll just make the proper Suggestion

Sale 1: Sold for about 15 keys (Took 1 Month and 20 days)

https://marketplace.tf/items/30421;5;u57

History: https://backpack.tf/item/4503291583

Sale 2: Sold for 15 keys (2 days)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105321885#!/compare/1500595200/1500681600

Sale 3: Maybe 19 Keys, Histories don't match?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306288794#!/compare/1502841600/1502928000

Sale 4: Sold Orb.Fire Waxy Wayfinder (15 Indate) For a Duped Purple Energy Big Country

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198187618105#!/compare/1503014400/1503100800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306288794#!/compare/1503100800/1503187200

Big Country Mini: Sold with a key for a P.Fetti Rotation Sensation (Indate 40) + 0.5 keys in hats, Rounding to 40

Total Sales:

15 (x2)

19 (Potentionally?)

Eh taking 25 I guess

Thanks man

No problem, though don't know where you got the 21 qs from, couldn't find it

The dude who sold it to me said he maybe bought for 19-21 keys

Eh that was sale 3, where it seemed like 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177759574#!/compare/1503532800/1503619200

Sold with c9 robin(14k) for aces woolen(41.5k) and 2.8 keys in adds

41.5 + 2.8 = 44.3k

44.3 - 14 = 30.3 ----> rounds to 30 keys

15 key sales and the 19 key sale should be seen as quicksells.

Well he originally had a B:O of 35, however he then lowered it to 25 to match this suggestion, so it might still cap at 25 :P

Pretty sure the 19 key sale is correct. Appears that the keys were immediately re-spent on the Greased seen here: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129336360#!/compare/1502668800/1502928000

https://backpack.tf/item/5812642839 - Djustice, ID# 6064378901 shows that the Djustice was acquired by Bull first

https://backpack.tf/item/3545365584 - Key, ID# 6064401278 shows that the keys were acquired by Homediggity after Bull got the Djustice

https://backpack.tf/item/3959627528 - Greased, ID# 6064401081 shows that the Greased was traded to ZeldaHype at the same time as Homediggity acquired the keys that were originally Bull's

Based on that sequence of events, Bull must have spent the keys on the Djustice, which were re-spent on the Greased before they were scanned in ZeldaHype's backpack.

Moreover, the sale mentioned in the comments does not necessarily support 25 - Aces Woolen has a mature seller for 29 - https://imgur.com/a/qEywv - so the in-date price of 41.5 may not be reliable.

Ultimately, that means we have a single somewhat bulky sale supposedly supporting 25 but with no mini (where's the link for that? why did nobody bring that up in over a month? ;_;), a second somewhat bulky sale that doesn't necessarily support 25 (Woolen should at least get an update first), and a handful of alleged quicksells - however, multiple current Djustice sellers for 25: https://imgur.com/a/1DVpR

I don't think the evidence for calling this 25 flat is strong enough yet - better to wait on clearer/less bulky sales before pricing this.

Forgot to paste the mini link :P

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306288794#!/compare/1503273600/1503360000\

Don't Believe the Key matches?

Though the 19 sale says it took about 3 days, so that could be considered a qs?

It could be - however, when every other sale that has happened is below your suggested price, and both current sellers are equivalent to that price as well - it's harder to make the argument that everything below that value is actually a quicksell. Time is only one factor relevant in determining what should be considered a quicksell - relationship to the other sales is just as important. There is definite ambiguity to whether or not this should have a low-end of some kind, hence why it should be left unpriced for the time being until we get more that we can work with (either that supports 25 or that gives it a low end).