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Seller at 18 keys:
http://i.imgur.com/bTQShqJ.png - 2 months
Movements:
Sold for nothing
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103377339#!/compare/1501027200/1502409600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102748281#!/compare/1470528000/1502323200
Sold with 6 or 8 keys for Aces High Master's Yellow Belt (22)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153301791#!/compare/1497657600/1498089600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164651434#!/compare/1497571200/1498089600
X = ~14 or 16
Excluding this sale as it probably shouldn't even be used here, and because scrap.tf pays higher. Best to not use this sale.
Rest are scrap.tf:
https://backpack.tf/item/5674480794
Going with 18 flat.